EUR/USD Long Bias – This Week’s RationaleEUR/USDOANDA:EURUSDTrader_GeserI’m looking for EUR/USD long opportunities, contingent on bullish technical confirmation. 1. USD side remains structurally weak: USD COT: net short (56k → 50k), with only 0.42% bullish this week → no meaningful shift in positioning. Rate expectations and recent data continue to cap USD upside. Overall flow still favors selling USD on strength. 2. EUR downside looks limited: EUR macro data (CPI & Core CPI: 2.1% → 2.0%, 2.4% → 2.3%) shows controlled disinflation, already priced. Policy rate steady at 2.15% → no new negative shock from the EUR side. 3. COT positioning supports stability: EUR COT: +0.55% bullish → mild accumulation, not crowded. This favors continuation rather than distribution. 4. Sentiment is balanced (not overcrowded): EUR/USD sentiment: 44% bullish vs 46% bearish. No extreme positioning → room for expansion if momentum turns bullish. Execution plan: I will only enter if a bullish pattern / structure breaks and confirms on my execution timeframe. Bias: Long EUR/USD Trigger: Bullish pattern confirmation only