XAUUSD– 4H Technical & Macro Outlook | Unified Trade ScenarioGoldOANDA:XAUUSDWarroomXYZXAUUSD has delivered a decisive bullish impulse on the 4H timeframe, reclaiming key structure after respecting the rising channel that has guided price since early December. The recent expansion candle into the 4,590–4,600 zone is technically significant, as this area aligns with a psychological resistance (4,600) and sits just above prior distribution near the 2025 high region. From a market structure perspective, price has maintained higher lows and higher highs, with the most recent impulse breaking above short-term internal resistance. However, the current rally is approaching a premium area, increasing the probability of either a controlled continuation or a corrective pullback before the next leg. Key Levels •4,600: Psychological resistance and continuation trigger •4,550: Short-term support / structure flip •4,440–4,450: Last week’s 50% retracement (high-probability demand) •Rising channel support: Trend-defining level Bullish Continuation (Plan A): If price achieves a clean 4H close and acceptance above 4,600, continuation within the channel is favored. Entry: Buy on 4H close above 4,600 or on a confirmed pullback into 4,580–4,600 TP1: 4,650 TP2: 4,680–4,700 TP3 (extension): 4,720+ Invalidation: 4H close back below 4,550 or strong bearish rejection from 4,600 with follow-through Corrective Pullback (Plan B): Failure to hold above 4,600, especially via rejection wicks or bearish 4H structure, opens a corrective move toward discounted levels. Entry: Sell on confirmed rejection between 4,590–4,600 TP1: 4,520 TP2: 4,480 TP3: 4,440–4,450 (last week’s 50%) Invalidation: Strong 4H close and acceptance above 4,600 XAUUSD continues to be supported by geopolitical tensions, policy uncertainty, and fluctuating USD strength, while expectations around future rate adjustments keep real yields unstable. These factors favor dips being bought unless higher-timeframe structure breaks. Overall bias remains bullish, but price is at a critical inflection point. Acceptance above 4,600 favors continuation, while rejection invites a healthy pullback before the next move. Traders should remain reactive, execute only with confirmation, and avoid emotional entries at extremes. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, and it does not guarantee profits or future performance. All decisions made based on this analysis are solely the responsibility of the user. This analysis does not execute trades, manage risk, or replace the need for trader discretion. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past price behavior or patterns discussed in this analysis do not ensure similar future outcomes. Users are encouraged to test ideas and strategies in demo or simulated environments before applying them to live markets and must take full responsibility for their own risk management, position sizing, and trade execution. Trading involves substantial risk, and losses may exceed deposits. By using this analysis, you acknowledge that you understand and accept all associated risks.