Base Built or Dead-Cat Drift? STRK’s Early-Cycle Make-or-Break

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Base Built or Dead-Cat Drift? STRK’s Early-Cycle Make-or-BreakSTRK / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACTBINANCE:STRKUSDT.Pcandle_craftsπŸ“Š STRK Market Structure β€” Early-Cycle Reclaim 1W β€’ First potential reversal base after a 10-month decline. β€’ Exhaustion under $0.12–0.14; first HH attempt forming. β€’ $0.12 β†’ $0.18 range expansion = first meaningful accumulation signal since early 2024. 2D β€’ Breakout > $0.16 = minor bullish CHoCH with volume confirmation. β€’ Close > $0.18 sets clean expansion toward $0.23–0.25 supply. β€’ Rejection here β†’ likely revisit of $0.15 liquidity pocket before the next try. 12H β€’ Short-term structure printing higher lows. β€’ POC β‰ˆ $0.163 acts as near-term magnet. β€’ Flush into $0.158–0.162 with delta absorption = ideal reload. β€’ Strong 12H close > $0.182 β†’ continuation impulse to $0.20–0.22 range highs. πŸ“ˆ Orderflow / Derivatives β€’ Open Interest: β‰ˆ $90M, +35% w/w β€” leverage building, still moderate β€’ Funding: 0%–0.01% β€” neutral (no crowding) β€’ CVD: flipped positive β€” spot buying returning β€’ Liquidations: stacked below $0.155 and above $0.185 β€” watch for hunts both ways β€’ Venue mix: Bybit leading OI share β†’ retail rotation creeping in βΈ» βš”οΈ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes πŸ”Ά Resistance Sweep Zone β€” $0.185 β†’ $0.205 β€’ 12H close > $0.205 with OI rising + CVD accelerating β†’ breakout leg β†’ $0.23–0.25. β€’ Rejection + OI flush β†’ short-term top β†’ return to $0.163 POC. 🟩 Support Sweep Zone β€” $0.155 β†’ $0.165 β€’ Strong absorption + OI reset β†’ accumulation zone for trend continuation. β€’ Break < $0.155 = failed reversal β†’ $0.125 range floor retest. ⚫ Deep Liquidity Zone β€” $0.115 β†’ $0.130 β€’ Last demand shelf / weekly re-accumulation. β€’ Break below = macro bearish continuation. βΈ» 🧭 Interpretation STRK sits in early-cycle recovery within the L2 rotation. STRK/BTC β‰ˆ 0.000015 shows the first relative-strength reclaim since Q1 2024 β€” a clear rotation tell if it holds. Bias = accumulation β†’ markup transition. Hold > $0.16 and watch for $0.205 confirmation to ignite the next leg into Q4.