Don’t Chase Green — ZEC’s 165–185 Reload vs 285 Breakout

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Don’t Chase Green — ZEC’s 165–185 Reload vs 285 BreakoutZcash / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACTBINANCE:ZECUSDT.Pcandle_craftsZEC is in vertical expansion after a multi-year base break. We map decision zones and let price confirm. 1W • +350% in three weeks; clean break of the 2022–2024 base (≈$30 → $80) and engulf of $120–130 supply. • In price discovery until next HTF resistance band $260–280. • Weekly volume highest since 2021 → true impulse confirmed. 2D • Two candles show exhaustion wicks, no structural break. • Momentum extreme; a mean reversion toward $180–190 is likely and ideal for re-entry if defended. 12H • Local parabolic channel intact. • $160–175 demand base (FVG + prior imbalance). • Reclaim > $240 resumes markup into $270 → $310 extension. 📈 Orderflow / Derivatives • POC: ≈ $190 • Open Interest: ≈ $210M (+90% week-over-week) → leverage inflow • Funding: +0.08–0.10% on Bybit → crowded longs • CVD: positive — spot absorption still present • Liquidations: clusters below $175 and above $260 → prime hunt zones ⸻ ⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes 🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — $260 → $285 • Break > $285 with OI rising → price discovery into $310–340. • Wick rejection + funding cool-off → short-term top → pullback to $190 POC. 🟩 Support Sweep Zone — $165 → $185 • Flush into band with OI reset & CVD turn positive = re-entry zone. • Break < $165 = parabola ends → $125–140 mid-range rebuild. ⚫ Deep Liquidity Zone — $120 → $140 • Historical weekly supply flip. • Defend → macro bullish continuation; lose → revert to range cycle. ⸻ 🧭 Interpretation ZEC sits in speculative escape velocity (privacy narrative + supply squeeze). Risk is elevated with funding and OI stretched. Prefer pullbacks into $190 → $175 with OI flush for continuation plays. As long as 12H closes > $160, macro bias stays bullish.