Overall fundamentals and TA explanation of Iran

Wait 5 sec.

Overall fundamentals and TA explanation of IranWTI CRUDE OILTVC:USOILpc193010Quick summary read: Trump’s gaslighting and lies on Iran hit peak absurdity on April 1 2026 — he posted on Truth Social that Iran’s “new regime president” had just asked for a ceasefire and the US would only consider it once the Strait of Hormuz was “open, free, and clear.” Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei called the claim “false and baseless” on state television the same day, mocked it as an “April Fools’ joke,” and repeated that no negotiations or ceasefire requests exist. They continued to target Israel, Qatar and oil vessels all day, Largely ignored in MSM. This is not spin — it is a direct, verifiable lie repeated after Iran denied every prior “talks going great” claim Trump floated since late March. He keeps projecting imminent victory and diplomatic breakthroughs while Iran launches fresh missile/drone strikes on Gulf targets and Israel, proving the opposite. Worst bits expanded — the war is day 33 with zero off-ramp: • 60-65% enriched uranium stockpile (~440 kg) left largely intact and deeply buried at Isfahan/Natanz; Trump himself admitted on CBS it’s “so deeply buried it’s gonna be very hard” to seize. • Gulf states burning — Iranian strikes hit oil tankers off Dubai/Qatar, Kuwait refineries, UAE desalination plants; Hormuz effectively shut, 20% global oil flow cut, prices spiked past $120/barrel at peaks. • Abraham Accords torched — Saudi/UAE now hedging hard toward China/Russia instead of deeper US-Israel ties. • Petrodollar death accelerated — Gulf negotiating yuan oil deals, BRICS settlement systems gaining traction; Deutsche Bank calls this the catalyst for petroyuan dominance. • Quick pull-out telegraph — Trump says he’ll exit in “two to three weeks” regardless, leaving allies to clean up the mess he started. • Price masking — US dumped 172 million barrels from SPR plus floated futures shorts to artificially keep oil under $100 and hide the war’s domestic cost. At best this is market manipulation, at work completely defrauding investors. • X/YouTube NLP today: 80-95% calls it “desperate price rigging,” “Trump lying to hide $120 oil reality,” “SPR weaponized for midterms.” • Although Trump lies and back- up from a conducive MSm create fake calm, manipulations buy time, but real disruption (Hormuz + incomplete strikes) locks in higher prices and strategic defeat Israel and US relations destroyed; Gulf nations pivot to China and BRICS - devastates US dollar. Iran far richer than before making $1.2b dollars a day completely reversing economic ruin. Gulf nations will continue to bear brunt of Iran attacks and dont have the military might to do anything in return. Iran can spend more money on pushing Hezbollah out to gulf and wider into europe for suicide attacks. Fuel reserves across the world down 20% - that means inflation, recession and QE. Currently 15 countries have placed restrictions on purchase of fuel. This will be Trump’s legacy, the worst president ever who brought the mighty USA dominance in a unipolar world to an end with both hubris and weakness. Mossad will not allow this to stand, expect retaliations on that front too. Not even to mention the 40% reduction in fertiliser availability - the poorest in the world will starve. In terms of US oil we have seen consistent unprecedented market manipulation (as noted above). 7 times we have seen volume shorts in excess of 15x standard deviation volumes, and one for 27 delta - completely impossible to occur in 2s on 15min timeframe (odds 1 in 650 quadrillion). These all occur at the same time each day and force oil back down below 100. This is fraud. The MSM all report attacks 7/8 hours late, or not at all and constantly push a ‘buy stock now message’. This is straight up collusion, corruption and will lead to WW3.