Microsoft and Amazon Are Downgraded as Redburn Breaks Ranks With Peers

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from buy on Tuesday, as Rothschild & Co Redburn’s Alexander Haissl downgraded the stocks for the first time since initiating coverage in June 2022, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Shares of both firms traded more than 2% lower in New York.Most Read from BloombergWhat It Takes to Defeat the Leaf BlowersBots, Billionaires Behind Gen Z March in Mexico, Sheinbaum SaysChicago’s ‘Job Killer’ Corporate Tax Plan Rejected by CommitteeBaltimore’s Rebooted Transit Project Can’t Come Soon EnoughEmergency Alerts Company Sued Over 18 Deaths in LA FireThe industry’s “trust us – Gen-AI is just like early cloud 1.0” narrative looks “increasingly misplaced,” Haissl wrote in a note, stating that the underlying economics are “far weaker than assumed.”Haissl’s downgrades follow a selloff in the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, which has wiped out almost $1.8 trillion since a late-October peak to send the gauge down 5.1% through Monday’s close. Investors have retreated from AI-related stocks amid unease over stretched valuations.With this call, Haissl broke rank with most of his peers. More than 90% of the analysts covering the stocks have buy-equivalent recommendations on them — with not a single sell rating, according to Bloomberg data.A former head of automotive research at Berenberg and Credit Suisse Group AG, Haissl began his career as a police officer in Vienna. He joined the firm, then called Redburn Ltd., in 2022 and initiated coverage on Amazon and Microsoft with a buy rating citing their untapped cloud potential. While the cloud-computing and e-commerce giant has more than doubled in the period, Microsoft has rallied 98%.Haissl’s coverage spans just three other stocks. He initiated with a sell rating on Oracle Corp. in September — the software firm’s shares have fallen about 25% since then. However, his call to downgrade Snowflake Inc. to sell from neutral in March 2024 hasn’t had the same result — the stock has rallied about 60%. He also has a neutral rating on MongoDB Inc.Technology firms are spending tens of billions of dollars to build out their AI infrastructure. In recent weeks, investors have become increasingly concerned about how quickly depreciating assets like graphics processing units and servers lose value.“Gen-AI margins already assume longer depreciation schedules of 5-6 years, versus just three years in the early cloud era,” Haissl said. “On a like-for-like basis, this means capital intensity for Gen-AI is significantly higher, while pricing power is notably weaker.”Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P Futures6,738.00 +76.50 (+1.15%)Dow Futures46,434.00 +226.00 (+0.49%)Nasdaq Futures25,137.50 +415.75 (+1.68%)Russell 2000 Futures2,376.70 +21.80 (+0.93%)VIX23.66 -1.03 (-4.17%)Gold4,051.70 -31.10 (-0.76%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersNUVB Nuvation Bio Inc. 7.15 +2.35 (+48.96%)EXAS Exact Sciences Corporation 86.18 +16.50 (+23.68%)AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. 25.52 +3.73 (+17.12%)PACS PACS Group, Inc. 16.83 +2.40 (+16.63%)TMDX TransMedics Group, Inc. 133.47 +16.40 (+14.01%)Top losersWIX Wix.com Ltd. 101.70 -25.22 (-19.87%)DGNX Diginex Limited 13.46 -2.74 (-16.91%)QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. 19.23 -3.19 (-14.23%)ES Eversource Energy 65.26 -9.28 (-12.45%)POWL Powell Industries, Inc. 285.29 -36.10 (-11.23%)Most activePLUG Plug Power Inc. 1.9000 -0.2400 (-11.22%)NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 186.52 +5.16 (+2.85%)ONDS Ondas Holdings Inc. 7.50 -0.34 (-4.34%)OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc. 6.69 -0.83 (-11.04%)ABEV Ambev S.A. 2.4700 -0.0600 (-2.37%)Earnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings eventsTrending tickersNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 186.52 +5.16 (+2.85%)AVGO Broadcom Inc. 354.42 +13.92 (+4.09%)CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. 74.92 +0.02 (+0.03%)PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. 199.90 -1.10 (-0.55%)ETH-USD Ethereum USD 3,187.77 -11.34 (-0.35%)Top economic events