XRP price hasbroken below the critical $2.20 support level today (Wednesday), November 19,2025, sliding with the broader cryptocurrency market in what technical analystsare calling one of the most dangerous formations for XRP holders this year. Thecryptocurrency currently trades at $2.14, down sharply from recent highs above$3.60, as it struggles with a confirmed death cross pattern on the daily chart.Mytechnical analysis shows XRP is fighting the $2.20-$2.30 support zoneidentified at local lows, and although the price has clearly broken below $2.20to the current $2.14 level, the market "is not a pharmacy,” meaning pricesdon't react perfectly to technical zones, especially in volatile cryptomarkets.Let’s check together why XRP price is falling today,what are the current XRP price prediction and why it may fall to $1.25 or even$1. XRP Price Death CrossFormation Confirms Bearish BreakdownThe dreadeddeathcross has officially formed on XRP's daily chart, with the 50-dayexponential moving average (EMA) crossing below the 200-day EMA, a potentbearish signal that indicates medium-term selling has overwhelmed long-termaccumulation. The deathcross formation is appearing not just on XRPbut across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies on dailytimeframes, suggesting coordinated weakness throughout the crypto market.Technical Levels for XRPSince earlyNovember, long lower wicks have been forming on XRP's candlesticks, slightlyextending the support zone and showing buyers attempting to defend theselevels. However,the clear break below $2.20 with the current price at $2.14 suggests bears aregaining control and "want to push it lower," as only a sustained movebelow the round $2.00 level and June lows at $1.90 will confirm their deeperbearish intentions.How Low Can XRP Go? $1.25 Target in FocusBased on mytechnical analysis, XRP faces potential fora devastating 50% decline toward the $1.25 level, representing thecryptocurrency's yearly minimum and a zone last tested one year ago during theOctober 10, 2024 deleveraging event. This bearish target aligns with the 100%Fibonacci extension measured from July peaks to October lows and coincides withcritical support that provided a floor during previous market stress.Master, acrypto analyst followed by over 53,000 traders on Twitter, shares an even morebearish outlook: "$XRP Top July 2025 now bear market most likely down to$1 or so. when capitulation?" His prediction of $1.00 represents anextreme capitulation scenario that would mark a 54% decline from current levelsand test support not seen since early 2024.$XRP Top July 2025 now bear market most likely down to $1 or so. when capitulation? pic.twitter.com/SKkWQA79jR— master (@MASTERBTCLTC) November 17, 2025Theintermediate levels to watch include the psychological $2.00 barrier, June 2025lows at $1.90, and April 2025 lows at $1.61—each representing potential pausepoints on the path lower.XRP Price Predictions:Bearish vs Bullish ScenariosThe divergencebetween bearish technical projections ($1.00-$1.25) and optimistic fundamentalforecasts ($5.05) reflects the extreme uncertainty currently gripping XRPmarkets.Why XRP Is Going Down?Whale Selling and MarketStress Override ETF OptimismDespite thesuccessful launch of XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency has plunged 11% as whaleselling and broader market stress overshadow early institutional demand."XRP slumps 11% despite ETF inflows as whale selling and market stressovershadow early institutional demand," reported Yahoo Finance,highlighting the disconnect between positive fundamental developments andnegative price action.SatrajBambra, CEO of Rails and Managing Partner at Round13 (running a $100M liquidfund up 400% since April 2022), explained the persistent market weakness:"October's liquidation event was a major catalyst for Bitcoin's dip below$90K. It created a liquidity vacuum, and when markets are already weak, theydon't need a fundamental reason to puke; they just need an opening. Macrouncertainty adds weight, but the chain reaction began with October's wipeout.The dead bodies from that event are still floating up."Key Factors Driving XRPDeclineDeath cross technical breakdown: 50 EMA crossing below 200 EMA confirms shift to bearish momentum across cryptoWhale distribution: Large holders selling tokens despite ETF launch, transferring to new investorsOctober liquidation aftermath: Liquidity vacuum with "dead bodies still floating up" from deleveraging event.Altcoin underperformance: XRP hit particularly hard as Bitcoin dominance rises and liquidity evaporatesSupply-in-profit collapse: 58.5% decline leaves 41.5% of tokens underwater, creating capitulation riskHeavy resistance ceiling: Converged moving averages at $2.55-$2.63 capping any rally attemptsBroader crypto weakness: $1 trillion wiped from total crypto market cap, lowest since early JulyMacro Headwinds andCrypto-Specific PressuresNiraj Pant,co-founder of Ritual AI and former General Partner at Polychain (where he ledinvestment rounds in Offchain Labs, EigenLayer, and Polymarket), providedcomprehensive context on the macro and crypto-specific pressures: "Macro:We've seen a general tightening of liquidity with fears of an overextension inAI capex alongside shakier economic data and a hawkish Fed, leading to risk-offbehavior in speculative tech stocks and crypto. Post-government shutdownending, we've (re)entered a dramatically heightened market environment withmore volatility expected."XRP Price Analysis, FAQWhy is XRP falling today?XRP isfalling due to a confirmed death cross formation (50 EMA crossing below 200EMA), break below critical $2.20-$2.30 support, whale selling despite ETFlaunch, aftermath of October liquidation event creating liquidity vacuum,broader altcoin weakness with rising Bitcoin dominance, and 41.5% of XRP supplynow held at a loss triggering capitulation selling.How low can XRP go?Technicalanalysis suggests XRP could decline to $1.25 (50% drop from recent highs),which represents the yearly minimum and 100% Fibonacci extension from Julypeaks to October lows. Intermediate support exists at $2.00 psychological leveland $1.90 June lows. Crypto analyst Master predicts extreme capitulation to$1.00, while April 2025 lows at $1.61 provide another potential floor.What is XRP priceprediction for 2025-2026?Pricepredictions vary dramatically. Bearish scenarios forecast $1.00-$1.25 near-termtargets based on death cross breakdown. Changelly projects $2.11-$2.45 rangethrough December 2025. Optimistic forecasts cite $5.05 by year-end driven byETF approvals and regulatory clarity. Standard Chartered analyst GeoffreyKendrick projects 73% annual growth over three years, while some bulls target$10-$37 for the current cycle.Is XRP in a bear market?Yes, XRPhas entered bear market territory with a 13.88% monthly decline in November, thelargest since February 2025, and a confirmed death cross pattern on dailycharts. The cryptocurrency has fallen from highs of $2.70-$3.60 to currentlevels around $2.14-$2.18, with 41.5% of supply now held at a loss. However,year-over-year performance remains strong at +285.9%, demonstrating volatilityrather than sustained bear market.Can XRP reach $5 in 2025?While AIforecasts and some analysts project $5.05 by end of 2025 driven by ETFapprovals, partnerships, and regulatory clarity, this requires a dramaticreversal from current bearish technical structure. XRP would need to recover140%+ from current $2.14 levels within approximately six weeks. StandardChartered's 73% annual growth projection over three years suggests moremeasured appreciation. The $5 scenario remains possible but requiressignificant positive catalysts and reversal of death cross breakdown.This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.