Will CAD/JPY Hold Demand and Push Toward the Next Target?Canadian Dollar vs Japanese YenPEPPERSTONE:CADJPYThe-Thief🍁 CAD/JPY SWING TRADE SETUP 💴 ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 CURRENT MARKET LEVEL: 111.115 (Real-time as of Nov 19, 2025) 🎯 TRADE DIRECTION BULLISH MOMENTUM ⬆️ | Swing Trade Framework 📍 ENTRY STRATEGY: LAYERED LIMIT ORDER APPROACH Advanced Multi-Entry Technique - "Thief Strategy" Execute multiple buy limit orders across key support levels to optimize entry execution: 🔹 Layer 1 (Strong Support): 110.000 JPY 🔹 Layer 2 (Mid-Range): 110.500 JPY 🔹 Layer 3 (Technical Level): 111.000 JPY 💡 PRO TIP: Scale your position sizing inversely with each layer - allocate 40% at Layer 1, 35% at Layer 2, 25% at Layer 3 for optimal risk management Customization: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance, account size, and recent price action. Tighter layers = higher frequency fills; wider layers = better averaging down potential. 🛑 STOP LOSS FRAMEWORK Hard Stop Level: 109.500 JPY ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: This SL is a reference point ONLY. Set YOUR stop loss based on: Your personal risk management rules Account equity tolerance (typically 1-2% risk per trade) Market volatility assessment Your trading experience level Remember: Your capital, your rules, your responsibility. 🎁 PROFIT TAKING TARGETS Primary Target (1st Pullback): 111.875 JPY (+0.75 exit point) Secondary Target (Strong Resistance): 112.500 JPY Moving Average acts as dynamic resistance + overbought zone ⚠️ CRITICAL DISCLAIMER: TP levels are analytical observations, NOT recommendations. Exit Decisions Should Factor In: Real-time momentum indicators (RSI, Stochastic) Volume confirmation at resistance zones Daily market volatility News/economic calendar events Your profit/loss objectives Take profits according to YOUR strategy, not someone else's target. 📈 TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE FACTORS ✅ Support Holds: 109.500 provides structural support ✅ Resistance Zone: Moving averages clustered near 112.00-112.500 ✅ Overbought Consideration: RSI compression near resistance ✅ Volume Profile: Historical resistance identified 💰 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR Track these pairs for sentiment shifts and early signals 🔴 Positive Correlation Pairs (Move WITH CAD/JPY) 1. USD/JPY ($) Why: Both pairs have JPY as base currency Impact: Strong BoJ policy changes affect both equally Watch For: If USD/JPY breaks above 155, CAD/JPY likely follows Correlation Strength: 85%+ (Very Strong) 2. AUD/JPY ($) Why: Commodity-linked currency vs JPY (like CAD) Impact: Risk-on sentiment drives both higher Watch For: Parallel breakouts suggest broader yen weakness Correlation Strength: 78%+ (Strong) 3. NZD/JPY ($) Why: Higher-yielding commodity currency vs defensive JPY Impact: Carry trade unwinds hit both simultaneously Watch For: If these turn bearish, CAD/JPY likely follows Correlation Strength: 75%+ (Strong) 🔵 Negative Correlation Pairs (Move OPPOSITE to CAD/JPY) 1. USD/CAD ($) Why: Direct inverse - one's strength is the other's weakness Impact: If USD strengthens, CAD weakens = CAD/JPY falls Watch For: USD/CAD above 1.3400 warns of CAD/JPY weakness Correlation Strength: -85%+ (Strong Inverse) 2. CAD/CHF ($) Why: Both carry safe-haven currencies but different way Impact: CAD weakness = both pairs decline Watch For: Divergence indicates currency-specific news Correlation Strength: -70%+ (Moderate Inverse) 🔑 KEY MARKET DRIVERS FOR THIS PAIR Bank of Canada (BoC) Actions: Interest rate decisions & forward guidance - bullish for CAD Bank of Japan (BoJ) Stance: Keeps JPY weak; defensive policies support the pair Crude Oil Prices: 80% correlation - oil strength = CAD strength US/Canada Economic Data: Employment, GDP, inflation prints (CPI) Risk Sentiment: Periods of risk-on favor higher-yielding CAD over safe-haven JPY ⏰ OPTIMAL TRADING WINDOWS Best Liquidity: 16:00-20:00 GMT (Overlap of Asian-American sessions) Second Choice: 08:00-12:00 GMT (London-Asian overlap) Avoid: 20:00-08:00 GMT (Low liquidity, wide spreads) 📋 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST Check BoC & BoJ calendar for upcoming events (48-72 hour window) Verify USD/JPY direction - confirms broader yen momentum Confirm AUD/JPY & NZD/JPY for carry sentiment Check crude oil price action (impacts CAD bias) Assess current RSI levels - avoid entries in extreme zones Confirm entry limits are BELOW current price (limit orders only) Position sizing = (Account Risk %) / (Entry to SL pips) Set alerts on all layer entry points + alert on SL breach ⚡ IMPORTANT LEGAL & TRADING DISCLAIMERS 🔺 This analysis is educational and observational only - NOT financial advice 🔺 You assume 100% responsibility for all trading decisions 🔺 Past performance ≠ Future results 🔺 Forex trading carries substantial risk of loss 🔺 Never risk more than you can afford to lose 🔺 Adjust ALL levels (Entry, SL, TP) per YOUR risk tolerance 🔺 Consult a licensed financial advisor for personal guidance Happy Trading & Manage Risk First! 📊✅