ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)

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ElDoradoFx – GOLD ANALYSIS (17/11/2025, ASIA SESSION)Gold US DollarVANTAGE:XAUUSDELDORADOFX 1️⃣ Market Overview Gold opens the Asia session around $4,105, attempting a recovery after last week’s heavy selloff that drove price into the $4,032–$4,070 macro support zone. The bounce has pushed price back into a dense resistance cluster—including the descending trendline, 50 EMA, 200 EMA, and supply zone at $4,104–$4,116. Despite the short-term recovery, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market trading under multiple key swing highs and still respecting all descending structure lines. Asia session is expected to deliver a corrective leg unless buyers break through the first resistance block. Price is currently coiling before a potential breakout into London. ⸻ 2️⃣ Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) •Gold holds above the 100 EMA, but remains below broken bullish channel support. •RSI ~55, reflecting a neutral-to-recovering state. •The daily BOS remains bearish until price reclaims $4,146–$4,173. •Daily buyers protecting the $3,930–$3,990 zone, but momentum is still corrective. ⸻ 🔹 H1 Chart •Clear bearish BOS from the $4,245 swing high. •Price bounced sharply from $4,032 and now retests a very strong resistance cluster: •Descending trendline •50 EMA •200 EMA •Micro supply zone •RSI ~41 showing weak bullish strength. •H1 remains bearish unless $4,130–$4,146 breaks. ⸻ 🔹 15M–5M Structure •Multiple CHoCHs after rejecting the $4,070–$4,080 demand zone. •Momentum indicators turning green, but trendline + MA structure overhead is intact. •Heavy sell pressure expected around $4,104–$4,116. ⸻ 3️⃣ Fibonacci Analysis Last swing: 4,245 → 4,032 •38.2% = 4,114 •50.0% = 4,138 •61.8% = 4,162 🎯 Fibonacci Golden Zone: 4,114 – 4,162 This zone aligns with supply, trendline resistance, and H1 EMA cluster → high-probability sell area. ⸻ 4️⃣ High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY SCENARIO (Countertrend Only) •Entry Zone: 4,080 – 4,070 (Fresh demand + sweep zone) •Targets: 4,104 → 4,116 → 4,130 •Stop Loss: Below 4,060 •Confirmation: ✔ Bullish CHoCH on 5M–15M ✔ Engulfing or FVG fill reaction Only valid if the pullback holds above 4,070. ⸻ 📉 SELL SCENARIO (Primary Bias) •Entry Zone: 4,114 – 4,162 (Golden Zone + Trendline + Supply) •Targets: 4,090 → 4,070 → 4,050 → 4,032 •Stop Loss: Above 4,172 •Confirmation: ✔ Rejection wicks ✔ RSI divergence ✔ MAs curling downward This is the highest probability setup for the Asia → London transition. ⸻ 💥 Breakout SELL Setup •Trigger: Break & close below 4,070 •Retest: 4,074 – 4,078 •Targets: 4,050 → 4,032 → 4,010 •Stop Loss: Above 4,090 Continuation of the macro bearish move. ⸻ 💥 Breakout BUY Setup •Trigger: Break & close above 4,130 •Retest: 4,116 – 4,120 •Targets: 4,146 → 4,173 → 4,200 •Stop Loss: Below 4,104 Only valid if strong volume enters the market. ⸻ 5️⃣ Fundamental Watch •Asia session expected quiet until Tokyo liquidity. •Market positioning ahead of: •US FOMC speakers •US Housing Data •DXY stability near 106 still suppressing strong upside. •No major Asia-session news, but volatility may rise into London. ⸻ 6️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance: 4,104 4,116 4,130 4,146 4,173 Support: 4,090 4,080 4,070 4,050 4,032 Golden Zone: 4,114 – 4,162 Breakout Levels: •Buy Trigger: > 4,130 •Sell Trigger: < 4,070 ⸻ 7️⃣ Analyst Summary Gold is attempting a recovery from the 4,032 low, but the broader structure remains bearish. Asia session likely pushes into 4,104–4,116, where the strongest sellers are positioned. Only a clean break above 4,130 changes the short-term tone to bullish. Until then, the market remains in retracement mode, preparing for another leg lower. ⸻ 8️⃣ Final Bias Summary 📉 Primary Bias: Bearish below 4,130, targeting 4,090 → 4,070 → 4,050 📈 Alternative Bias: Bullish only above 4,130, targeting 4,146 → 4,173 → 4,200 ⸻ 📊 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – WEEKLY PERFORMANCE RECAP 📊 📅 10 – 16 NOV 2025 💰 Precision. Consistency. Profit. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟢 MONDAY 10/11 ✅ BUY (SWING) +2,850 PIPS ✅ BUY +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ✅ BUY +110 PIPS ✅ SELL +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS 📊 Huge start — swing and intraday aligned perfectly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔵 TUESDAY 11/11 GOLD ✅ BUY +110 PIPS ✅ BUY +90 PIPS ✅ BUY LIMIT +40 PIPS ✅ BUY +40 PIPS ✅ BUY +60 PIPS ❌ BUY -50 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +280 PIPS ✅ BUY +240 PIPS LIVE SESSION ❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +120 PIPS ✅ BUY +60 PIPS ✅ BUY +30 PIPS 📈 Strong directional day with clean scalping in session. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟣 WEDNESDAY 12/11 ✅ BUY +20 PIPS ✅ BUY +30 PIPS ✅ BUY +40 PIPS ❌ SELL -40 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ✅ SELL +15 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS 📊 Trend continuation — minimal drawdown. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔴 THURSDAY 13/11 ❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ✅ BUY +110 PIPS ✅ BUY +60 PIPS ✅ BUY +210 PIPS ✅ BUY +60 PIPS ❌ BUY -80 PIPS (SL) ✅ SELL +210 PIPS ⚖️ BUY – BE ✅ BUY +240 PIPS 🔥 Huge bullish momentum — big intraday winners. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🟡 FRIDAY 14/11 ❌ BUY -60 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +110 PIPS ✅ BUY LIMIT +60 PIPS ✅ SELL +110 PIPS ❌ BUY -70 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +110 PIPS LIVE SESSION ⚖️ BUY – BE ✅ SELL +250 PIPS ❌ BUY -40 PIPS (SL) ✅ BUY +60 PIPS ⚖️ SELL – BE ✅ SELL +180 PIPS 📊 High volatility day — precision paid off. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🪙 BTC/USD WEEKEND BONUS ✅ SELL +600 PIPS ✅ BUY +500 PIPS ✅ SELL +400 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 WEEKLY RECAP 🥇 GOLD NET PIPS: +6,575 PIPS 📱 BTC/USD BONUS: +1,500 PIPS 🚀 TOTAL WEEKLY PROFIT: +8,075 PIPS 📌 Signals Counted: 39 Wins | 8 SL 🎯 Win Rate: 83% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 Another powerful trading week — GOLD swings and intraday setups delivered exceptional precision, and BTC weekend signals added strong bonus gains. 👏 Congrats if you profited! Let’s continue the momentum. — ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 💼📈