AUD/USD – Bearish Breakout Signal Triggered AUD/USDOANDA:AUDUSDSivaArjunAUD/USD – Bearish Breakout Signal Triggered (79% Backtest Probability) A fresh SELL signal has been generated on AUD/USD, driven by a confirmed Breakout pattern on the current timeframe. This setup aligns strongly with our automated trend-following model and carries a 79% historical backtest probability, indicating a high-quality bearish continuation opportunity. 🔍 Technical Breakdown The price structure on AUD/USD is currently reflecting: 1. Bearish Breakout Structure The pair recently pushed through a minor intraday structure, forming a lower high — a classic precursor to bearish continuation. The breakout reflects rejection of upper liquidity, signaling sellers stepping in with control. 2. Trend Alignment Our trend-following model confirms that: The pair is trading below key dynamic levels. Momentum indicators show downside pressure building. The breakout pattern is clean and free from noise, improving its reliability. This confluence increases the confidence that the downside move may continue. 🌍 Market Context & Macro Influence Dollar strength continues to weigh heavily on AUD/USD, as: Risk sentiment remains fragile Interest rate differentials favor USD Recent macro data prints support a stronger dollar outlook AUD continues to show weakness due to commodity softness and cautious global sentiment In short, the macro backdrop supports the bearish technical structure currently forming on the chart. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: 0.65297 Sellers are expected to defend this zone aggressively. Immediate Support: 0.64907 A clean break below this region may accelerate bearish momentum. Major Resistance: 0.65753 A strong structural ceiling — bullish invalidation sits above this level. Major Support: 0.64451 The next major liquidity target for sellers if the present breakout expands. 🎯 Trade Parameters (Based on 0.10 Lot Size) ParameterLevel Entry0.65102 Stop Loss (SL)0.65302 Take Profit (TP)0.64702 Risk$50 Potential Profit$100 R:R Ratio1 : 2 This structure offers a clean, mechanical setup with well-defined risk boundaries. 🛡 Risk Management Notes Professional-grade risk practices include: Never risk more than 1–2% of total capital per trade Consider scaling into the position if price retests the breakout zone Use a trailing stop after price moves in your favor Avoid holding during high-impact USD or AUD economic events Ensure proper position sizing based on your account balance If volatility expands, consider partial profit-taking Breakout trades can accelerate quickly — staying disciplined is essential. 📌 Final Thoughts AUD/USD currently presents a high-probability bearish continuation setup, supported by both technical structure and macro context. With backtested performance at 79%, clear levels, and defined risk, this opportunity fits well within professional trend-following models. Traders should monitor price behavior near support at 0.64907 — a breakdown from this region may trigger the next wave of selling pressure toward 0.64702 and beyond.