EURUSD SELL TRADE PLANEuro vs US DollarICMARKETS:EURUSDjibkhan111PAIR & DATE: EURUSD — 24 Nov 2025 PLAN ID: EURUSD-V4-1124-A Analysis Timestamp (UTC): Fresh Chart Age: ≤30m ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ PLAN OVERVIEW •Category: Swing / Intra-Day •Trade Type: Countertrend Reversal + With-Trend Continuation •Direction: SELL (Primary) •Confidence: 78% (≥70% passed) •Min R:R: ≥1:3 to TP2 •Status: VALID ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧭 MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE •Trend: WITH-trend SELL (W1 bearish, D1 bearish, H4 bearish; H1 only corrective bounce) •Macro Bias: WITH (USD firming on yields; EUR weak on policy divergence) •Implication: → Primary must be SELL ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ LEVELS CARD (QUICK ACTION) 🟥 PRIMARY SETUP — SELL (WITH-trend, Higher Probability) Entry 01: 1.15420 – 1.15500 •H1/H4 bearish FVG •H4 breaker block + prior supply •Clean imbalance above current price → perfect sweep-and-drop zone •HTF aligned (D1/H4 bearish) Entry 02 (Secondary Zone): 1.15640 – 1.15720 •D1/H4 bearish OB (unmitigated) •High-quality stop-hunt zone if price spikes deeper Stop Loss: 1.15920 (Above HTF OB → safe macro-protected SL) Take Profits: •TP1: 1.14980 (intraday low) •TP2: 1.14620 (major liquidity pocket) •TP3: 1.14100 (HTF target) Order: Pending – Pre-validated ✅ Session: London → NY preferred ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ EXECUTION CHECKLIST 1.News blackout: 15m before / 60m after red events 2.Price must tap zone during London/NY 3.Confirmation: H1 Engulf / Pin / BOS 4.Execute order type exactly as defined 5.Partial TP1 → SL BE → Trail 6.Exit only on invalidation breach 7.Skip if no trigger 8.EMA stack choppy → SKIP ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS •ECB dovish; Fed neutral-hawkish •US yields rising → USD strength •Oil stable → no CAD spillover •Retail sentiment shows majority BUY → supports our SELL plan Macro Lean: Favoring USD strength → EURUSD bearish. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ MARKET MAP •D1: Clear downtrend (lower highs & lower lows) •H4: Clean BOS down; unmitigated supply above •H1: Only a corrective rebound → ideal for fading •Liquidity: Equal highs above 1.154–1.156 (sweep target) •Play Type: Sweep-Reversal → Continuation ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT •Risk 1–2% max •Basket cap 2% •Minimum R:R to TP2 = ≥1:3 •ATR distance verified; spread ok •Tight trail on structure breaks ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE) 78% — Clean HTF downtrend, macro USD strength, H1/H4 supply overhead, and strong liquidity targets below. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY Primary Trigger (SELL) Wait for price to sweep 1.154–1.155 → H1 engulf → short. Partial at TP1, trail aggressively. Alternate Trigger (SELL) If price rejects early from 1.1518–1.1525 → short on H1 BOS. Continue with-trend. Flat Conditions •If price closes above 1.1592 → Plan INVALID •If no H1 trigger → Stand aside Zone Status: All zones FRESH, none invalidated.