BTC SUPPLY: Breakout Strength or Bull Trap in Disguise?Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDXauMasterNetworkBTCUSD has just delivered a strong impulsive breakout, reclaiming multiple key levels in a very short period of time. However, where price is currently reacting is far more important than the breakout itself. Right now, BTC is pushing directly into a higher-timeframe supply / resistance zone, and this is where the market must prove whether this move is continuation-driven or simply a liquidity sweep before a deeper correction. Market Structure Context From a structural perspective, BTC broke out cleanly above the 92,300–92,500 range, which previously acted as a major resistance and EMA cluster. That breakout was impulsive, confirming bullish intent and momentum strength. Price then accelerated rapidly toward the 95,500–96,400 supply zone, leaving behind multiple inefficiencies and unmitigated demand zones below. This type of vertical move almost always creates unfinished business underneath. Key Zones to Watch Immediate Supply / Resistance: ~95,500–96,400 → Strong selling pressure previously entered here First Structural Support: ~94,400–94,600 (flipped resistance) Major Demand Zone: ~92,300–92,500 (EMA + structure + base) Primary Scenario – Healthy Pullback (Most Probable) The current consolidation under supply suggests absorption rather than continuation. If price fails to break and hold above the supply zone, the market is likely to rotate lower to rebalance liquidity. Expected path: - Rejection from supply - Pullback toward 94,400 - If that fails, continuation into 92,300–92,500, where buyers are expected to defend aggressively This would still keep the overall bullish structure intact, forming a higher low. Alternative Scenario – Bullish Continuation If BTC accepts above the supply zone with strong volume and closes, this invalidates the pullback thesis. In that case: - The market transitions into price discovery - Upside continuation opens toward 97,000+ This scenario requires acceptance, not just wicks. Conclusion Bitcoin is strong but strength alone is not enough at major supply. Right now, BTC is at a decision zone, where smart money typically distributes or reloads. Until price shows acceptance above resistance, pullbacks are corrective, not bearish, and they are often the best opportunities within a larger bullish trend. This is no longer about chasing momentum. It’s about reading where the market wants balance before the next expansion.