MNQ Long's 92% vs 8% Gap down at 25,239 Level

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MNQ Long's 92% vs 8% Gap down at 25,239 LevelMicro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index FuturesCME_MINI:MNQ1!Smalldikenergy📊 Technical Breakdown What Happened: Price swept the liquidity resting at 25,239 - you can see this marked as "Sweep" on the chart. This was a classic stop hunt below the obvious support level where retail had their stops parked. Smart money grabbed that liquidity and immediately reversed. Current Structure: Price has reclaimed the 25,407 - 25,434 support zone We're now trading right at this key level heading into Tuesday's session Ascending trendline from the sweep low providing confluence RSI at 56 - not overbought, plenty of room to expand higher Why I'm Bullish: 1. Liquidity Sweep Completed The move down to 25,239 wasn't a breakdown - it was a liquidity grab. Price wicked below support, triggered stops, and reversed. This is textbook accumulation behavior. 2. Support Reclaim After the sweep, price didn't just bounce - it reclaimed and is holding above the 25,407-25,434 zone. This flip from resistance back to support is exactly what you want to see for continuation higher. 3. Trendline Confluence The ascending trendline drawn from the sweep low intersects perfectly with current price action. Multiple technical factors aligning at the same level increases probability. 4. RSI Structure RSI at 56 shows momentum is neutral-to-bullish. We're not chasing an overextended move. There's fuel in the tank for expansion. 5. Macro Context MLK Day weekend behind us (3-day weekend positioning unwind) Light economic calendar Tuesday (ADP only) Supreme Court tariff decision could remove uncertainty Thursday's PCE data is the next major catalyst 🎯 Trade Parameters Entry Zone: 25,400 - 25,450 (current area) Targets: T1: 25,619 (previous resistance/yellow line) T2: 25,800 (recent swing high area) T3: 26,000+ (if momentum continues) Stop Loss: Below 25,239 (below the sweep low) Risk:Reward: Approximately 1:3 to first target ⚠️ Invalidation This setup is invalidated if: Price breaks and closes below 25,239 The sweep low gets taken out with follow-through Structure shifts to lower highs and lower lows A break below 25,239 would indicate the sweep wasn't accumulation but rather distribution, and we'd need to reassess for lower targets. 📈 Historical Context Looking back at this support zone on the higher timeframe, price has respected this level multiple times: 12 touches resulted in upside continuation Only 1 instance led to significant downside (and even that reversed) 92% historical win rate at this level The odds favor the bulls here. 🧠 The Thought Process This is a high-probability setup because we're not guessing - we're reacting to what the market has shown us: They swept liquidity ✓ They reclaimed structure ✓ Multiple confluences align ✓ Risk is clearly defined ✓ The market showed its hand with that sweep and reclaim. Now we position accordingly. Final Notes Not financial advice - just sharing my analysis. Manage your risk appropriately. The market can do anything, but when the technicals align like this with clear invalidation, the setup is worth taking. Let's see how this plays out Tuesday. Follow for more setups: Discord: /NobodyFutures Twitter: @NQGODTRADES Dull entries miss the mark. Hollow points always expand. 🎯 #NQ #MNQ #Futures #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #SwingTrading #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #MarketStructure