GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLANBritish Pound vs US DollarICMARKETS:GBPUSDjibkhan111PAIR & DATE: GBPUSD Β· Jan 15, 2026 PLAN ID: GUUSD/0115 Analysis Timestamp (UTC): 17:51 Chart Age: β€30m βΈ» π PLAN OVERVIEW β’ Category: Intra-Day Position β’ Trade Type: Continuation / Breakout-Retest β’ Direction: β SELL β’ Confidence: 78% β’ Min R:R: 1:3 (to TP2) β’ Status: β VALID βΈ» π MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE β’ Trend: β WITH β D1 just confirmed bearish BOS, H4 clean structure break β’ Macro Bias: β WITH β USD firm post CPI/retail, GBP under pressure ahead of BoE β’ Implication: Trend-aligned short valid on pullback to supply zone; GBP vulnerable to macro deterioration βΈ» π― LEVELS CARD (Quick Action) π΅ Primary Setup (Higher Probability) Direction: β SELL β’ Entry 01: 1.3415β1.3430 (Prior H1 order block + H4 bearish imbalance) β’ Stop Loss: 1.3455 (above H1 SFP zone) β’ TP1: 1.3350 β’ TP2: 1.3305 β’ TP3: 1.3260 β’ Order: β Pending β Pre-validated β β’ Session: London-NY overlap preferred βΈ» β EXECUTION CHECKLIST 1.β News Blackout Gate: 15m pre / 60m post red events (Empire cleared; UK CPI Jan 17) 2.β Price must tap 1.3415β1.3430 in-session 3.β Confirmation: H1 pin / bearish engulf at zone 4.β Execute as pending or on confirmation 5.β Partial at TP1 β SL BE β Trail 6.β Exit if H1 closes above 1.3455 7.β Skip if price doesnβt return to zone 8.β Chop Filter: Flat EMA + weak reaction β skip βΈ» π FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS β’ CB Bias: ββ BoE: Neutral-to-dovish tone expected ββ Fed: Still cautious; inflation under control, supporting USD β’ Key Data (7d): ββ Jan 17: UK CPI ββ Jan 18: GBP Retail Sales β’ Cross-Asset Sentiment: ββ DXY: Rebounded from support; strengthening short-term ββ Equities softening = slight USD bid ββ No GBP-specific strength observed β’ Positioning (COT/Flows): ββ GBP longs trimming; USD stable ββ Retail net long GBPUSD β contrarian bearish Macro Lean: β GBP weakness + USD firmness = downside pressure continues βΈ» π§ MARKET MAP β’ D1: Double top + BOS under 1.3380 β’ H4: Clean downside leg β continuation structure β’ H1: Break + minor pullback forming β’ Liquidity Pools: Sell stops under 1.3360 β targeted β’ OB/FVG/Value: OB around 1.3415β1.3430 (H1 imbalance zone) β’ Play Type: β Breakout-Retest / Continuation βΈ» π° RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT β’ Risk per idea: 1.0% β’ Basket Cap: 2% β’ Min R:R: β₯1:3 to TP2 β’ ATR/Spread: β Passed β’ Trailing Method: H1 structure-based βΈ» π§ CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE) 78% β D1/H4 bearish continuation structure with a confirmed BOS, entry zone aligns with unmitigated H1 OB + macro USD strength βΈ» π FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE β’ Primary Trigger: Limit sell at 1.3415β1.3430 with confirmation β TP1 partial, trail β’ Alternate: β None β section omitted β’ Last-Candle Audit: Awaiting zone tap β No trigger yet β’ Stay Flat If: Price continues bleeding down without pullback, or sharp bullish reclaim above 1.3455 β’ Zone Status: β Fresh β untested supply zone β’ β No forced trades; discipline over FOMO βΈ» π§Ύ POST-TRADE JOURNAL To be updated post-execution