GBPAUD SELL TRADE PLANBritish Pound vs Australian DollarICMARKETS:GBPAUDjibkhan111PAIR & DATE: GBPAUD β Jan 16, 2026 PLAN ID: GA/0116 Analysis Timestamp (UTC): 2026-01-16 00:42 UTC β’ Chart Age: β€30m βΈ» π PLAN OVERVIEW β’ Category: Intra-Day Position β’ Trade Type: Sweep-Reversal + Continuation β’ Direction: SELL β’ Confidence: 83% β’ Min R:R: 1:3 (to TP2) β’ Status: β VALID βΈ» π MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE β’ Trend: WITH (W1/D1/H4 β Bearish) β’ Macro Bias: WITH (Risk-on AUD strength; GBP macro soft) β’ Implication: Macro + structural alignment gives high-probability continuation βΈ» π― LEVELS CARD (Quick Action) π΅ Primary Setup (Higher Probability) Direction: SELL β’ Entry 01: 2.0035β2.0055 (Bearish H1 OB + supply wick) β’ Entry 02 (Deeper Zone): 2.0070β2.0088 (Fresh OB + H1 FVG, below LH) β’ Stop Loss: 2.0125 (above breaker block & structure invalidation) β’ TP1: 1.9940 β’ TP2: 1.9875 β’ TP3: 1.9780 β’ Order: Pending β Pre-validated β (Expires end of session or pre-entry invalidation) β’ Session: London / NY βΈ» β EXECUTION CHECKLIST 1.News Blackout Gate: 15m pre / 60m post red GBP or AUD events 2.Price taps zone during preferred session 3.Confirmation: H1/H4 Engulf / Pin / BOS 4.Execute order type as defined 5.Partial at TP1 β SL BE β trail 6.Exit on invalidation breach 7.Skip if no trigger 8.Chop Filter: EMA stack flat at zone w/ no trigger β Skip βΈ» π FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS β’ CB Bias / OIS: ββ BoE: Neutral-dovish (rate cuts approaching mid-year) ββ RBA: Hawkish lean retained due to sticky inflation β’ Key Data (7d): ββ UK CPI due this week (expected disinflation) ββ AUD employment data incoming β’ Cross-Asset Sentiment: ββ DXY sideways, VIX stable β neutral risk backdrop ββ Equities risk-on; commodities supportive of AUD β’ Positioning: ββ GBP net-long (COT), vulnerable to liquidation ββ AUD neutral, less crowded β’ Macro Lean: AUD strength vs GBP macro fade = bearish bias sustained βΈ» π§ MARKET MAP β’ D1/H4 Structure: Clear bearish swing structure, strong BOS to downside β’ Liquidity Pools: Sell-side below 1.9940, 1.9880, and clean-out near 1.9780 β’ OB/FVG/Value Areas: ββ OB: 2.0035β2.0055 (primary) ββ FVG + OB: 2.0070β2.0088 (secondary) β’ Play Type: Sweep-Reversal from LH β Continuation βΈ» π° RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT β’ Risk per idea: 1.5% β’ Basket cap: 2% (across GBP trades) β’ Min R:R: β₯1:3 to TP2 β’ ATR/Spread filters: Satisfied β’ Trailing method: Structure-based or 15-pip lock after TP1 hit βΈ» π§ CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE) 83% β Full bearish alignment across W1βH1 with valid OB + FVG pullback zones under LH + macro AUD strength bias. βΈ» π FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY / PERSONAL NOTE β’ On Primary Trigger: Execute pending short at 2.0035β2.0055 on valid London/NY wick or engulf β’ On Alternate Trigger (Entry 02): Enter short at 2.0070β2.0088 only with wick rejection or BOS; skip if late in session β’ Last-Candle Audit @ Zone: Pin / Engulf β Execute β’ No trigger β Stand aside β’ Flat If: Pre-London sweep fails or price grinds through zone w/ chop β’ Zone Status: Fresh (both zones) β’ β No forced trades; stay flat if no confirmation βΈ» π§Ύ POST-TRADE JOURNAL (End of Plan) Outcome + Lesson: (To be filled post-execution)