The Bullish Anomaly: TRON (TRX)

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The Bullish Anomaly: TRON (TRX)TRON / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACTBINANCE:TRXUSDT.PPHANT0MWhile the broader market hunts for direction, TRON (TRX) has quietly invalidated a major bearish signal and entered a high-probability "Squeeze" structure. The price action suggests that the "smart money" is absorbing sell pressure to engineer a breakout. Here is the deep-dive analysis for the Payment Giant. Trend Analysis: The Failed Signal The most telling piece of data is the failed Major Short Signal from January 12th (Daily Timeframe). The Trap: The Phantom Wizard flashed a "Major Short" when TRX was trading around $0.299. The Reality: Instead of dropping, the price has ground higher to $0.306. The Implication: When a major sell signal fails, it acts as rocket fuel. The bears who shorted that signal are now trapped underwater. Their stop-losses (likely above $0.31) are now liquidity targets for bulls. Structurally, TRX is trading above both the Daily EMA 50 ($0.291) and the Daily EMA 200 ($0.295). It has also cleared the Ichimoku Cloud Top ($0.296). We are in "Blue Sky" territory with no overhead moving average resistance. Momentum & Indicators Daily RSI: Currently at 67.1. This is bullish but not overheated. We are approaching the 70 level, which often triggers an acceleration phase (parabolic run) rather than a reversal in strong trends. 4H Structure: The price is holding comfortably above the 4H EMA 50 ($0.299), using it as dynamic support. Funding Rates: Neutral at 0.01%. The derivatives market has reset from the negative funding we saw earlier. This means the "easy squeeze" is over, and we are now in a spot-driven expansion phase. Key Levels to Watch $0.320 (Psychological): The primary breakout target. Clearing the recent highs here opens the door to $0.35. $0.310 (Range High): Immediate resistance. This is where the trapped shorts will likely capitulate. $0.306 (Current Price): Consolidating just under resistance. $0.299 (4H EMA 50): Critical Support. As long as we hold this level, the "Bear Trap" thesis remains valid. $0.291 (Daily EMA 50): The macro invalidation level. The Verdict TRX is a "Bear Trap / Squeeze" play. The market tried to short it on Jan 12th, and the market failed. Now, the path of least resistance is up, targeting the liquidity of those failed shorts. Strategy: The structure supports a long bias. We are buying the strength of the failed sell signal. Look for an entry on any small dip to $0.302, or buy the breakout above $0.308.