RKT | Ascending Triangle Apex + $789K Options Flow = Breakout IRocket Companies, Inc.BATS:RKTWavervanir_International_LLCNYSE:RKT Macro Structure (4H) RKT has been compressing in an ascending triangle since mid-2025. We're now at the apex — a resolution is imminent. Structure: Higher lows: $8 → $14 → $16 → $22 Resistance: $25-26 (tested and rejected 3x) Current: $23.45 (coiling at upper bound) Rising trendline support: $22.00 SMC Confirmation: CHoCH confirmed at $10 in early 2025 — macro trend flipped bullish Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) on the way up Currently in Premium zone, consolidating below weak high Equilibrium at $19-20, Discount zone $14-16 Options Flow Confluence Scanned institutional flow and found: MetricValuePremium$789,286Strike$25 (exactly at resistance)ExpiryFeb 20ExecutionAbove Ask (maximum urgency)Score0.93 (exceptional quality)Size7,282 contracts SWEEP Institutions are betting on the breakout. They don't sweep $789K above ask for a rejection play. Catalyst Stack Trump Mortgage Policy — $200B mortgage bond purchase announced, directly benefits RKT Mr. Cooper Acquisition — Makes RKT largest mortgage originator AND servicer in US Redfin Integration — One-stop real estate platform synergies Earnings Feb 25 — Positioned for pre-earnings run Rate Cut Expectations — Fed cuts = mortgage volume surge Price Targets (Breakout Scenario) If RKT closes above $26 on volume: TargetPriceMethodT1$28-30Initial breakout momentumT2$3550% measured moveT3$44Full measured move (triangle height) Measured Move Calculation: Triangle height = $26 - $8 = $18 Breakout point + height = $26 + $18 = $44 Trade Plan Entry: Current ($23.45) or on confirmed break above $26 Stop: Below $22 (trendline break) T1: $28-30 (+20-28%) T2: $35 (+50%) T3: $44 (+88%) Options Play: Feb 20 $25C — directly aligned with flow and breakout level Invalidation Close below $22 = trendline broken, exit Close below $20 = structure failed, full stop Probability Assessment OutcomeProbabilityBreakout to $28-3065%Breakout to $35+40%Rejection at $2625%Breakdown below $2210% Conclusion Ascending triangle at apex + $789K institutional flow at $25 strike + multiple catalysts aligned = high probability breakout setup. Compression leads to expansion. The question isn't IF it moves — it's WHEN. 📐 Chart says breakout 💰 Flow says breakout 📰 Catalysts say breakout When all three align, you pay attention. NFA | DYOR Tags: RKT, RocketCompanies, Mortgage, AscendingTriangle, Breakout, OptionsFlow, SmartMoney, TechnicalAnalysis, SMC, SwingTrade