The financial elite aren’t worried about a stock-market bubble yet — but you can’t afford to be so complacent

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This is one of those times.It’s not just retail investors who are complacent these days. Complacency is widespread among sophisticated institutional investors who should know better, too.These stocks are the biggest winners as TSMC earnings supercharge the AI tradeThe ‘risky trinity’ is the most underappreciated market threat right now. These are the stock moves to make.Mortgage rates fall to lowest level in over 3 years as home-buying activity picks upHere’s how much money you need to make to afford a $400,000 homeParticularly noteworthy is the attitude of the global elite who are gathering in Davos, Switzerland, next week for the annual World Economic Forum. The WEF was created in large part to anticipate global risks, and yet this year’s participants seem largely oblivious to the possibility that equities in general, and U.S. equities in particular, are forming a bubble that could soon burst.In the 2025 edition of the WEF’s annual Global Risks Report (the 2026 report is due soon), participants placed “asset bubble burst” in 19 th place in a ranking of global risks deemed “most likely to present a material crisis on a global scale” last year.You might excuse this complacency on the grounds that the elite are focusing on global, existential questions — issues such as war, extreme weather events, the breakdown of civil society and so forth. But that would be crediting them with too much unselfishness, given their behavior the last time the global financial markets nearly became unraveled.That occurred in the global financial crisis, of course. In the January 2009 issue of the WEF’s Global Risks Report — two months before the crisis finally bottomed, participants ranked “asset price collapse” as the biggest near-term risk the world then faced. Surely we can all agree that the risk of a bubble in early 2009 was far less than it is today.If you had any doubt, consider the S&P 500’s SPX valuation in early 2009 versus now. As the table below shows, the S&P 500 then was much more reasonably valued than it is now.-The world elite’s preoccupation in 2009 with a collapse in asset prices — and its complacency today — reveals what’s known as recency bias, which is defined as “a cognitive bias that favors recent events over historic ones. … [R]ecency bias gives greater importance to the most recent event.”Read: The Fed’s failures set the stage for the Trump-Powell turmoil. Here’s one solution.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P 5006,940.01 -4.46 (-0.06%)Dow 3049,359.33 -83.11 (-0.17%)Nasdaq23,515.39 -14.63 (-0.06%)Russell 20002,677.74 +3.18 (+0.12%)VIX15.86 +0.02 (+0.13%)Gold4,601.10 -22.60 (-0.49%)Trending tickersSMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. 32.64 +3.22 (+10.94%)BTC-USD Bitcoin USD 95,356.98 -271.46 (-0.28%)NVO Novo Nordisk A/S 62.33 +5.21 (+9.12%)APP AppLovin Corporation 568.76 -38.23 (-6.30%)VERO Venus Concept Inc. 8.00 +6.56 (+455.56%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersIBRX ImmunityBio, Inc. 5.52 +1.57 (+39.75%)AGX Argan, Inc. 383.66 +54.00 (+16.38%)RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. 19.24 +2.67 (+16.11%)ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 115.77 +14.52 (+14.34%)FIGR Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. 73.91 +8.99 (+13.86%)Top losersZGN Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. 9.56 -1.46 (-13.25%)SSL Sasol Limited 6.31 -0.84 (-11.75%)TLN Talen Energy Corporation 371.66 -47.41 (-11.31%)CEG Constellation Energy Corporation 307.71 -33.42 (-9.80%)GTM ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. 9.04 -0.96 (-9.65%)Most activeIBRX ImmunityBio, Inc. 5.52 +1.57 (+39.75%)ONDS Ondas Holdings Inc. 12.16 -0.66 (-5.15%)NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 186.23 -0.76 (-0.41%)INTC Intel Corporation 46.96 -1.35 (-2.78%)BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. 6.12 -0.05 (-0.81%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events