Chelsea v Brentford prediction, betting tips and bet builder – Will Thiago turn up again?

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A major west London showdown is set for Saturday afternoon in the Premier League, with Chelsea welcoming Brentford to Stamford Bridge in a fixture that could have significant implications for the race for Champions League qualification.Chelsea v Brentford best betsDraw and both teams to score at 15/4 with bet365Igor Thiago to score at 7/4 with bet365Moises Caicedo to be booked at 13/5 with bet365Draw, Thiago to score, Caicedo booked at 33/1 with bet365Chelsea v Brentford latest oddsFind the latest Chelsea v Brentford betting odds here, odds courtesy of bet365 and are subject to change.Chelsea – 7/10Draw – 3/1Brentford – 15/4Chelsea v Brentford predictionChelsea boss Liam Rosenior is still searching for his first home victory since taking charge following his move from Strasbourg. His opening match at Stamford Bridge ended in disappointment, as the Blues suffered a 3-2 defeat to Arsenal in the Carabao Cup.That midweek loss to the Gunners in the first leg of their semi-final continued a difficult run of form for Chelsea, who have now managed just one win from their last seven matches across all competitions ahead of Brentford’s visit.A solitary victory from their previous nine Premier League outings has seen Chelsea slide out of the title conversation and drop to eighth in the table. They now trail league leaders Arsenal by 18 points and sit four points adrift of fourth-placed Liverpool, a deficit they will be hoping to reduce this weekend.Home form has also been a concern for the Blues. Since their impressive 3-0 Champions League win over Barcelona at the end of November, Chelsea have claimed just one win in five matches at Stamford Bridge, losing twice in their last three league games on home soil.Brentford, meanwhile, arrive in west London full of confidence after an excellent run of results. The Bees have won five and drawn one of their last six matches, including victories in each of their last three, as they aim to continue their momentum with another strong performance against local opposition.Keith Andrews’ side have been rewarded for their consistency by climbing into the Premier League’s top five, leaving them just two points behind Liverpool in the final Champions League qualification spot.Earlier struggles in the lower half of the table were largely due to Brentford’s poor away record, having lost seven of their first eight league games on the road this season.That narrative has since changed, with the Bees winning their last three away fixtures. While two of those successes came against teams near the foot of their respective divisions, confidence within the squad is high heading into this high-profile derby.Brentford also boast an encouraging recent record at Stamford Bridge, having won three of their last four visits and losing just once in their previous eight meetings with Chelsea. However, they are without a victory in the last four head-to-head clashes, three of which ended in draws.That run could well extend to four of the last five on Saturday, with Brentford in buoyant mood while Chelsea’s players will be looking to impress their new manager, with the hope of continuing the “new manager bounce” in Rosenior’s first home league game in charge. I’m predicting an entertaining 2-2 draw.Chelsea v Brentford betting tipsBlues and Bees share spoilsThree of the last four matches between the two sides have ended in a draw, with two of those stalemates ending with a 2-2 scoreline, which could well be repeated at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, extending Brentford’s unbeaten tun to seven games in the process.Rosenior’s two matches in charge of the Blues so far have seen 13 goals scored so plenty more can be expected on Saturday afternoon at the Bridge.Draw and both teams to score at 15/4 with bet365Thiago on targetOnly Erling Haaland has scored more goals in the Premier League this season than Igor Thiago.Brentford’s Brazilian striker has scored 16 goals in 21 league games for the west London side this season, and heads to Stamford Bridge in outstanding form having bagged five goals in his last two outings.Igor Thiago to score at 7/4 with bet365Another Caicedo cautionChelsea’s Moises Caicedo has been on the receiving end of more cards this season than any other player on either team, with five cards in his last six Premier League outings taking him to 11 for the campaign for club and country in all competitions.Moises Caicedo to be booked at 13/5 with bet365Chelsea v Brentford predicted lineupsChelsea (4-2-3-1): Sanchez (GK); James, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella; Caicedo, Santos; Palmer, Fernandez, Neto; PedroBrentford (4-2-3-1): Kelleher (GK); Kayode, Ajer, Collins, Henry; Janelt, Yarmoliuk; Ouattara, Jensen, Schade; ThiagoHow to watch Chelsea v BrentfordLocation: Stamford Bridge, LondonDate and time: Saturday 17th January 2026, 3pmHow to watch: Not available on UK TVMore Premier League predictionsFind more predictions and betting tips from our expert punters in our match previews on the Premier League, Championship, League One and more!More Premier League free betsCommercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. 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