XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) Extension

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XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Setting Up Wave (5) ExtensionGoldOANDA:XAUUSDBrianLionCapitalHey Traders, Gold on the M30 chart is still holding a bullish structure, but the recent push into the upper channel line shows early signs of exhaustion. Here’s my full breakdown and trading plan: πŸ” Technical Overview Price just completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural profit-taking zone. The 3666–3670 range has been a key pivot/support zone multiple times; I expect a pullback into this area for Wave (4) before another rally. 3657 marks deeper support and the invalidation point for the bullish setup. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) targets 3720–3725. πŸ“ˆ Key Levels TypePrice LevelNotes Resistance3695–3700Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch rejection Support (1)3666–3670Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2)3657Strong support & invalidation Wave (5) TP3720–3725Expected Wave (5) extension target βš™οΈ Trading Plan βœ… Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a brief sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on M30. Targets: TP1: 3695–3700 (prior highs) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: ~1:2 to 1:3 depending on entry. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short Scenario: Strong rejection again at 3695–3700. Targets: 3670 β†’ 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Note: This is countertrend and higher risk – take quick profits, small position sizing. πŸ›‘ Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 with a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. Always risk ≀1–1.5% per trade, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase if price runs without you. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold remains in a bullish short-term channel. A healthy pullback into 3666–3670 could provide the perfect entry for the next Wave (5) leg up. Be patient for price action confirmation. Countertrend shorts are possible on a sharp rejection at 3695–3700, but the main play is buying the dip. Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market come to you.