CPI & FED Rates – The US 10-Year Yield Trade

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CPI & FED Rates – The US 10-Year Yield TradeUnited States 10 Year Government Bonds YieldTVC:US10YjngtradingThere’s growing expectation that the Fed may cut rates soon — but how will this impact US 10-year bond yields, which have been range-bound for nearly 2 years? Two technical scenarios I’m tracking: Bearish Case: Drop to 3–3.5% Potential Head & Shoulders top in play Price below 50 & 100-week EMAs If neckline breaks, 3% becomes a key support Chart: Bullish Case: Triangle Breakout to 4.5–5% Price still above long-term EMAs (200 & 250) Triangle pattern typically resolves as trend continuation Break above 4.63% would confirm the upside 📊 Chart: Either way, I’m letting structure guide the trade. Until this range resolves, I’m keeping a neutral short-term view but bullish long-term bias.