IFCI

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IFCIIFCI LimitedNSE:IFCIpradyammm1️⃣ Trend & Demand Zones All timeframes (HTF, MTF, ITF): UP trend — bullish structure. Demand zones cluster HTF Avg: 35–29 (avg ~32) MTF Avg: 51–44 (avg ~48) ITF Avg: 51–49 (avg ~50) Strong overlapping demand zones between 48–51, which matches your stop-loss region — good alignment. 2️⃣ Entry, SL, and Target ParameterValue Entry56 Stop Loss (SL)49 Target83 Risk per Share56 – 49 = 7 Reward per Share83 – 56 = 27 ✅ Risk/Reward (RR) = 27 ÷ 7 ≈ 3.86 (your sheet says 3.28 – probably after brokerage & taxes). ✅ This is a healthy RR (>3). 3️⃣ Position Sizing MetricValue Quantity5000 shares Total Buy Value5000 × 56 = 281,500 Capital Allocated (50%)140,750 (good risk management) 4️⃣ Profit / Loss Potential ScenarioValue If Target Hit(83–56)×5000 = 135,000 before costs If SL Hit(56–49)×5000 = 35,000 loss Brokerage & Taxes (~0.49%)~1,380 total Net Profit~130,620 Net Loss~39,880 5️⃣ ROI Real ROI if Target Hit in 4 Months: ~90% on allocated capital (solid return). Interest cost: ~9.69% per annum assumed in your calc. Net profit after interest: ~126,136 (still strong). 6️⃣ Strengths of This Plan Strong confluence of demand zones at SL region (48–51) supports a bounce. Entry just above support = favorable risk/reward. Target aligns with previous high at 75 and projection at 83. Good position sizing (50% capital allocated, not overleveraged). 7️⃣ Caution / Considerations Ensure the volume/liquidity at 56 entry is high enough to fill 5,000 shares easily. Watch for false breakouts — if price closes below 49 on a daily basis, plan your exit. Use trailing stop once price crosses 65–70 to lock in profit. Target at 83 is ambitious — consider scaling out partially near 75 (last high) to secure profit. ✅ Quick Action Plan Enter at 56. Stop-loss at 49. Partial book near 75, rest at 83. Tighten stop to breakeven once price sustains above 65.