EURUSD 4HEuro/US DollarFX:EURUSDfarzadshokri Market Outlook — EUR/USD (4H Chart) **Overall View:** The market is setting up for a **two-step move**: 1. **Green arrow:** A short-term push higher (liquidity grab) into the **OB / Hidden POI zone** — around **1.1785 – 1.1828** — to sweep liquidity above recent highs. 2. **Red arrow:** After rejection from that zone, a **strong bearish move** is expected toward **Fib POI ≈ 1.1490** (main target). --- Rationale (Summary) * Market often grabs liquidity above highs before a larger directional move — that’s the purpose of the green leg. * The OB/Hidden POI area is the likely supply zone for institutional selling. * The downside target (Fib POI) aligns with structural support and inefficiencies that price may want to rebalance. --- Key Levels on Chart * Current price: **≈ 1.1744** * Resistance / Supply Zone (OB / Hidden POI): **1.1785 – 1.1828** * Main Target (Fib POI): **≈ 1.1490** * Intermediate support (Fib 50%): shown on chart — may act as temporary pause in the bearish leg. * Timeframe: **4H** — moves may take several days to weeks to play out. --- Trade Management (Suggested) * **Aggressive entry:** Short around **1.1785–1.1828** upon signs of rejection (bearish engulf, rejection wicks, etc.), with stop just above the OB/Hidden POI. * **Conservative entry:** Wait for structural break (4H close below a key swing low/support), then enter on pullback. * **Stop-loss:** Above OB/Hidden POI — e.g., **above \~1.185–1.188** (adjust based on ATR/risk). * **Targets:** * T1: Fib 50% / intermediate support (short-term reaction expected). * T2: **Fib POI ≈ 1.1490** (main target). * Further downside possible if 1.1490 breaks. --- Invalidation * A confirmed **4H close and hold above \~1.185–1.188** would invalidate this short setup. * Also invalid if price skips the liquidity sweep and instead establishes a strong bullish structure directly above OB zone. --- Risk Notes * This is a **technical outlook based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC)** — not financial advice or a guaranteed signal. * Always use proper **risk management** (e.g., risk 1–2% per trade). * Look for 4H candlestick confirmation or supply rejection signals before entering. * Conservative traders can avoid the OB entry and trade only after structure break.