BTC 15m Update — post-breakdown bounce

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BTC 15m Update — post-breakdown bounceBTCUSD Multi Collateral Perpetual Futures ContractKRAKEN:BTCUSD.PMvanlubowPrice is reacting off the 5m Bull FVG 88.4–88.6k after the breakdown below 89,945. This bounce is mitigation until we reclaim structure. Key levels on my chart: 90,319 / 89,945 / 89,450 / 89,279. ⸻ Scenario ladder (with SL/TP) A) Bull reclaim 89,279 (first breakdown-fail signal) Trigger: 15m close > 89,279 + next 15m holds > 89,279 Entry: hold-close or first retest from above SL: below the reclaim swing low (or conservative: below 88,600 FVG top) TPs: 89,450 → 89,600 → 89,945 → 90,319 ⸻ B) Bull reclaim 89,450 (stronger shift) Trigger: 15m close > 89,450 + hold Entry: retest of 89,450 from above (best) SL: below 89,279 (or conservative: below 88,600) TPs: 89,945 → 90,319 (stretch: higher 1h FVG zone if you track it) ⸻ C) Bear retest-fail at 89,279 (sell the bounce) Trigger: price tags 89,279, then 15m closes back < 89,279 (rejection) Entry: rejection close / next pullback SL: above rejection high (or structural: above 89,450) TPs: 88,600 / 88,400 / 88,000 (lower DBR) ⸻ D) Bear continuation (FVG fails) Trigger: 15m close < 88,400 + continued acceptance below Entry: retest of 88,400–88,600 from below (best) SL: above 88,600 TPs: 88,000 / 87,600 ⸻ Rule No mid-box guessing: I act on close + hold, not wicks. Reclaim 89,279 / 89,450 = bounce may evolve into reversal. Fail there = continuation.