TQQQ Risk-On/Risk-Off PlaybookInvesco QQQ Trust Series IBATS:QQQdegenfolioQuick summary (QQQ -> TQQQ) I use QQQ's daily trend (100/200-day SMAs) as the signal and trade TQQQ as the expression. Decisions are made on the daily close with a 2-day confirmation; trades execute the next day's open. Sizing: GREEN = TQQQ sleeve 10-15% (cap 20-25%); YELLOW = 5-8%; RED = 0% (cash). What you're seeing Yellow line = 100-day SMA; Orange line = 200-day SMA (on QQQ). Background (my script) classifies the tape using daily closes only with a 2-day confirmation: - GREEN = Close > 100D AND 100D > 200D (strong trend). - YELLOW = Close > 200D AND 100D 200D and price holds above 100D. If 100D flattens and price rides 200D, expect YELLOW (chop/repair). Two daily closes below 200D would shift to RED. My plan (position throttle) GREEN: TQQQ sleeve 10-15% of portfolio (cap 20-25%); trim if sleeve > target x 1.25. YELLOW: half-risk ~5-8%; add on strength only. RED: 0% TQQQ; sit in cash until state flips back. Invalidation / risk controls Regime changes require N = 2 consecutive daily closes (cuts fakeouts). Optional +/- 1% band around 200D to reduce whipsaws. No margin/loans layered on leveraged ETFs. Disclosure Educational only; not investment advice.