TQQQ Regime Throttle

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TQQQ Regime ThrottleInvesco QQQ Trust Series IBATS:QQQdegenfolioOverview Rule-based risk expression for QQQ/TQQQ with explicit action prompts. The panel translates a 100/200-day SMA regime on QQQ into what to actually hold and how big to size, so you’re not guessing in real time. TL;DR This Idea pairs a simple 100/200-day SMA regime on QQQ with a volatility gate and a TrendScore so the panel explicitly tells you how to express risk: Express: TQQQ (use leverage and stay in TQQQ while this hint persists, subject to trims), Express: QQQ (stay unlevered), or Express: Cash (flat). It also suggests a sleeve size for TQQQ when enabled. What’s different vs a plain MA system Express hint: turns the regime into an action—TQQQ vs QQQ vs Cash. “Express: TQQQ” means be long TQQQ until the hint changes per rules (or your trims hit).Volatility gate: AnnVol and ATR% thresholds must be met to enable TQQQ; if not, you remain in QQQ or Cash even if GREEN.TrendScore → size: converts trend quality into a suggested sleeve %, capped to your risk budget.Dynamic guardrails: optional buffer around the 200D and extra confirmations at higher vol to curb whipsaws.How colors are determined GREEN = Close > 100D and 100D > 200D.YELLOW = Close > 200D and 100D ≤ 200D.RED = Close < 200D.How to read the panel RISK: GREEN/YELLOW/RED per the MA regime on QQQ daily (signal updates on daily closes).Confirm | Band: daily closes required to change color; the small ±% buffer applied to the 200D when vol rises (set to zero to mimic a plain 200D test).AnnVol | ATR%: realized vol and ATR as % of price used by the gate.TrendScore (0–1): higher = stronger, cleaner trend.Express: what to hold—TQQQ if regime is risk-on and vol is tame; QQQ if regime is risk-on but vol is hot or trend is marginal; Cash if risk-off. “Express: TQQQ” = stay in TQQQ until the hint changes or your trims fire.Suggested sleeve: size guidance for TQQQ when enabled (TrendScore × vol scaling, then capped).Playbook (discipline) Decide at the daily close; execute at the next open.If GREEN + Express: TQQQ → allocate up to Suggested sleeve (respect your cap).If GREEN + Express: QQQ → stay unlevered until vol cools or TrendScore improves.If YELLOW → light risk (half base sleeve; panel still gates leverage).If RED → flat/cash.Trim rule: if sleeve value > target × 1.25, rebalance back to target.Inputs you can tune MA lengths (100/200) and confirmations.Vol lookback, ATR length, Max AnnVol, Max ATR% (stricter = less TQQQ).Base sleeves for GREEN/YELLOW and an overall cap.Dynamic band/confirm multipliers (raise to reduce flip-flops).Signal source: QQQ by default; can follow your chart symbol.Notes Signal is computed on QQQ daily via security() and only locks at the daily close. The panel is an indicator, not an order system—use it to standardize decisions and sizing. Leveraged ETFs amplify gains and losses; backtest and size prudently. Disclaimer Educational only. Not investment advice.