XRP priceis falling for a third consecutive session today (Tuesday), 23 December 2025,dropping back below the $1.90 level and hovering near its lowest prices sinceApril, marking eight-month lows. From thisyear's July peak, when one XRP traded at $3.67, the price has already halved,and on a year-to-date basis, XRP is down roughly 13%, effectively erasing thedynamic mid-year rally that captivated traders. Accordingto my technical analysis, the chart suggests the cryptocurrency can fall evenlower, with two clear downside targets now in focus. In this article, I examine how low XRP price can go and analyze the XRP/USDT daily chart.Why Is XRP Going DownAgain?The broadercryptocurrency market is under pressure as total market capitalization fell2.4% over the past 24 hours to $3.06 trillion, withBitcoin declining 2.4% to around $87,780 and most large-cap tokens postinglosses. XRP is mirroring this risk-off move but with sharper percentagedeclines typical of its high-beta profile. The token closed Monday at $1.90,down from $1.93 the prior session and marking a steady deterioration from the$2.20+ zone that held through much of late November."Thecurrent correction demonstrates the fragility of this market and its continuedsusceptibility to panic selling," says Farzam Ehsani, CEO of cryptoexchange VALR. He outlines two scenarios: either a very large player such as afund, bank or state is preparing a significant purchase, making the declinepotentially artificial and setting up a sharp rebound, or the market isoversaturated and the weakening dollar plus Fed policy have reduced demand forhigh-risk assets, implying recovery could take more than a year.From amacro perspective, Joel Kruger, LMAX Group, notes that "traditionalmarkets provide a supportive but measured backdrop. A softer US dollar and amodest pullback in Treasury yields help cap downside volatility, while ongoingdebate around the Fed's policy outlook sustains interest in bitcoin as anon-sovereign, scarce asset". XRP Price Analysis:Bearish Regression Channel And Death CrossFrom mytechnical view, XRP has been making fresh lows session after session, promptingme to refresh the chart with updated levels and a bearish regressionchannel that has been in place uninterrupted since July. The lowerboundary of this channel was last tested in late February, and price is nowgravitating back toward that zone. Currently, XRP is using a localsupport area around $1.80, tested just last week, with prior contacts on 21November and several sessions in April.Accordingto my technical analysis, the far more important level lies at $1.62,where the lower edge of the regression channel coincides withthe lows from eight months ago, representing one of the lowest prices of theyear. This is my first bearish target. The ultimatedownside objective sits at $1.25, the low from the October10 flash crash, when XRP briefly tested and bounced within the November2024 supply–demand accumulation zone. Analysts note that the October crashmarked a significant bearish shift, erasing roughly $1.3 trillion in totalcrypto market value.From thecurrent price near $1.90, XRP could fall approximately 14% to reach thefirst target at $1.62 and as much as 34% to hit the secondtarget at $1.25. Supporting this bearish outlook is the movingaverage grid: price trades well below both the 50-day and 200-dayMAs, and the pair formed a death cross at the beginning ofNovember, a classic technical signal of deteriorating momentum.If you like my work and analyses, please follow me on X!Key Resistance Levels ForXRP Price RecoveryWhile mybase case remains tilted to the downside, it's important to map the resistanceladder that would need to be reclaimed for any meaningful recovery. Accordingto my technical analysis, the first substantial resistance zone spans$2.07 to $2.25, combining the upper edge of the regression channel,the 50-day moving average, and a cluster of local highs and lowsfrom 2025. This band has repeatedly capped rallies in recent weeks.Above that,the next resistance level sits around $2.64, the May 2025 high,followed by the psychological $3.00 threshold, which also marks theMarch 2025 peak. The final resistance band lies at $3.40–$3.55,representing this year's July highs from which the current downtrendoriginated. Only asustained breakout above these zones, especially a decisive move through $2.25and then $2.64, would invalidate the current bearish XRP price prediction andsignal a potential trend reversal.XRP Price Prediction 2025,2026My short-to medium-term XRP price prediction centers on the two downside targetsoutlined above: $1.62 asthe primary objective (alignedwith the regression channel floor and April lows),$1.25 asthe ultimate bearish scenario (October flash-crash low and November 2024 accumulation zone). The pathand timing to these levels will depend on how quickly the current local supportat $1.80 gives way and whether broader crypto sentiment continues todeteriorate.Severalfactors could invalidate this bearish setup. A strong reversalabove the $2.07–$2.25 resistance band, coupled with reclaiming the 50-daymoving average and breaking back above the upper edge of the regressionchannel, would suggest that buyers have regained control. Potentialcatalysts for such a reversal include clearer regulatory frameworks (despitethe recent Senate delay pushing crypto legislation to 2026), a macro shifttoward easier Fed policy, a broad-based crypto rally led by Bitcoin, or largeon-chain accumulation becoming visible in whale wallet data.Kruger'sassessment that "crypto markets remain in consolidation mode"underscores that until a clearer catalyst emerges, whether from Fed policy,institutional flows, or breakthrough adoption news, XRP and the broader marketare likely to continue drifting within defined ranges, vulnerable to downsidebreakouts.XRP Price Analysis, FAQWhy is XRP going downtoday?XRP isgoing down because it's part of a broader 2.4% crypto market selloff, withrisk-off sentiment and year-end profit-taking weighing on all major tokens.Additionally, XRP's 50% drawdown from July and inability to sustain gainsdespite SEC victory and ETF inflows reflect fragile sentiment and ongoingdistribution by early holders.Is XRP in a bear marketnow?Yes. XRP isdown 13% year-to-date and 50% from its July peak, trading within a bearishregression channel with a confirmed death cross. While these are classicbear-market signals, the token has outperformed Bitcoin (-18%) and Ethereum(-27%) in 2025, suggesting a correction within a longer-term consolidationrather than a full structural bear phase.How low can XRP price goin this cycle?Accordingto my technical analysis, XRP can fall approximately 14% from current levels tothe first target at $1.62, and as much as 34% to the ultimate bearish objectiveat $1.25. These levels correspond to the lower edge of the regression channel,April 2025 lows, and the October flash-crash zone respectively.Can XRP recover after thiscrash?XRP canrecover if broader crypto sentiment stabilizes, macro conditions improve, or amajor catalyst such as renewed institutional buying or regulatory clarityemerges. A sustained break above $2.25 resistance and reclaiming the 50-daymoving average would signal that buyers have regained control and invalidatethe current bearish setup.Before you go, please also check my other XRP price prediction articles:This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.