ElDoradoFx – BTCUSD ANALYSIS (25/12/2025, BANK HOLIDAY UPDATE)BitcoinVANTAGE:BTCUSDELDORADOFXHI EVERYONE PLEASE SUBSCRIBE TO OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL FOR FREE DAILY FORECAST. LINK IN OUR BIO. 1. Market Overview BTCUSD is in a higher-timeframe corrective phase inside a broader bullish macro structure. After rejecting the HTF supply around 126k earlier in the year, price has been trending lower but is now stabilising above a major structural demand zone between 86.4k – 84.4k. The current market state is: •Macro: Bullish market → medium-term correction •Structure: Range / compression after sell-off •Liquidity: Sell-side has been partially taken, buy-side remains above 88.8k and 90.6k •Momentum: Bearish impulse exhausted, bullish momentum building This suggests we are transitioning from distribution → markdown → accumulation / rebalancing. ⸻ 2. Technical Breakdown 🔹 Daily (D1) •Market printed a full impulse down from ~116k → ~80.6k (clean bearish leg). •Price is now holding above the D1 strong low (80,630) and forming higher lows. •White 50 EMA is flattening; yellow 200 EMA still above price (bearish pressure remains). •Daily structure is neutral → early recovery, not yet bullish. Key read: As long as 80.6k holds, this is a corrective leg — not a trend reversal. ⸻ 🔹 H1 •Trendline break to the upside after the 80.6k low. •BOS up toward 90.5k failed and created a lower high → rejection → pullback. •Price now compressing between: •Resistance: 88.0k – 88.6k •Support: 86.4k – 87.0k Structure: Range inside recovery channel. ⸻ 🔹 30M •Market swept below 86.4k liquidity, then reclaimed it. •Internal BOS printed bullish, but price is now ranging under supply. •Strong reaction every time price hits 86.4k demand. This is accumulation behaviour. ⸻ 🔹 15M •Equal highs taken near 88.0k, but continuation failed. •Price remains above trendline support and demand. •CHoCH bullish → then sideways compression. ⸻ 🔹 5M •Micro structure alternating — no directional control. •Liquidity sitting: •Above: 88.4k – 88.8k •Below: 86.8k – 86.4k Market waiting for a liquidity trigger. ⸻ 3. Fibonacci Analysis Swing used: Low → High = 80,630 → 90,588 Fib LevelPrice 38.2%86,960 50.0%85,609 61.8%84,258 🟩 Golden Zone: 86.9k – 84.2k (Current price is sitting at the top of the Golden Zone) This is a classic re-accumulation zone after a sell-off. ⸻ 4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios 📈 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Zone: 86,900 – 84,300 (Golden Zone / HTF demand) Confirmation: •5M or 15M bullish BOS from the zone •Rejection wick + volume increase Targets: •88,100 •89,400 •90,600 •93,900 (if weekly breakout occurs) Invalidation: Daily close below 84,000. ⸻ 📈 BUY Breakout Trigger: Break & hold above 88,800 Retest: 88,200–88,500 holding Targets: 90,600 → 93,900 → 98,800 ⸻ 📉 SELL Scenario (Countertrend) Only valid on rejection from 88.6k–90.6k. Targets: 87,200 → 86,400 → 85,600 Invalidation: Break above 90.6k. ⸻ 📉 SELL Breakdown Trigger: Daily close below 84,000 Targets: 82,000 → 80,600 → 76,000 This would signal a deeper macro correction. ⸻ 5. Fundamental Watch •Bank holiday liquidity → false moves possible. •No major crypto or macro catalysts scheduled. •ETF flows + risk sentiment likely dominate next week. ⸻ 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance •88,100 •88,800 •90,600 •93,900 Support •86,900 •86,400 •85,600 •84,300 •80,600 ⸻ 7. Analyst Summary BTCUSD is not bearish — it is correcting inside a long-term bull market. The sell-off has done its job. The market is now compressing above HTF demand and preparing for its next directional move. This is a classic: Sell-off → Stabilisation → Accumulation → Expansion structure. ⸻ 8. Final Bias Summary 🟢 Short-term bias: Neutral → Bullish above 86.4k 🟢 Weekly bias: Bullish recovery unless 84k breaks 🔴 Bearish only if: Daily close < 84k Primary expectation for next week: 👉 Range early → liquidity sweep → bullish continuation toward 90.6k+. ⸻ ✅ Conclusion •The downside is largely exhausted. •Smart money is building positions in the 86k–84k zone. •The next clean break is likely up, not down. Patience + confirmation buys > aggressive sells. ⸻ 🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 24/12/2025 🥇 ⚡ Precision execution. Swing objectives completed. 📈 BUY +40 PIPS ⚖️ SELL – BE ❌ SELL −40 PIPS (SL) 📉 SELL +20 PIPS 📈 BUY +90 PIPS 📉 SELL +210 PIPS 📉 SELL +20 PIPS ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💎 SWING TRADES – FULL TP HIT • Entry 3959 ➤ +5,410 pips • Entry 4000 ➤ +5,000 pips • Entry 4124 ➤ +3,760 pips • Entry 4275 ➤ +2,250 pips • Entry 4293 ➤ +2,070 pips • Entry 4325 ➤ +1,750 pips • Entry 4406 ➤ +940 pips 📊 Swing Total: +21,180 pips ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 DAY RESULT: +340 PIPS (BE excluded, SL deducted) 🎯 6 Counted Signals → 5 Wins | 1 SL 🔥 Accuracy: 83% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━