Cava: After A 60% Fall, Trades At 100x Earnings

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Dec. 23, 2025 6:52 PM ETCAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) StockYR Research5.15K FollowersCommentsCava Group remains highly volatile, with a 50% YTD decline, despite fundamentally stable business performance.Recent results showed slowing growth: Q3 revenue up 19.9%, same-store sales up 1.9%, and restaurant margins dropping to 24.6%.Management has reset 2025 guidance to 3%–4% same-restaurant sales growth and 24.4%–24.8% margins, reflecting more conservative expectations.I maintain a "Hold" rating on CAVA, as valuation remains stretched and upside relies on momentum rather than fundamentals.Schroptschop/E+ via Getty ImagesCava Group, Inc. (CAVA), one of the hottest stocks in the market in 2024, is capping off quite a terrible 2025, with a 50% decline year-to-date.Business-wise, things have been much more stable than the nearlyThis article was written byYR Research5.15K FollowersI aim to invest in companies with perfect qualitative attributes, buy them at an attractive price based on fundamentals, and hold them forever. I hope to publish articles covering such companies approximately 3 times per week, with extensive quarterly follow-ups and constant updates.I manage a concentrated portfolio targeted at avoiding losers and maximizing exposure to big winners. This means that often I'll rate great companies at a 'Hold' because their growth opportunity is below my threshold, or their downside risk is too high.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Comments