TAO Breaks March Resistance as Daily Chart Points to 21% Upside Target

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TLDR:TAO broke above the $288.1 Fibonacci level on the daily chart for the first time since March 2026.Volume hit 23.57K TAO on the breakout day, exceeding recent consolidation averages by a notable margin.The 200-day MA at $272.4 has shifted from overhead resistance to a rising support floor below price.The measured upside target sits at $348.7, representing approximately a 21% move from current price levels.Bittensor (TAO) is drawing attention after breaking a critical price level not seen since March. The asset closed above $288.1 on the daily chart, a level tied to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Volume on the daily timeframe came in at 23.57K TAO, above recent consolidation averages. The 200-day moving average sits at $272.4, now acting as rising support below price.TAO Forms Textbook Base After Three-Month DeclineTAO peaked at $377 in November 2024 before entering a controlled downtrend. The asset found its floor at $143 in early February 2026. That bottom aligned closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension from the prior bull cycle. The depth and structure of that base drew attention from technically focused traders.From $143, price bounced sharply back toward the $377 region within weeks. It then pulled back into a consolidation range between $232 and $288. That range held for roughly six weeks, forming a pattern of higher lows throughout. The structure is consistent with a base-building phase before a directional move.Crypto analyst @2xnmore noted the setup on social media, stating: “$TAO just broke a level on the daily chart that has not been touched since March. Most people have not noticed yet.”$TAO just broke a level on the daily chart that has not been touched since March. Most people have not noticed yet.Price: $288.5200-Day MA: $272.4Timeframe: 1D + 4H confluenceExchange: BinanceThis is the breakdown.The daily chart tells the full story.Zoom out to the… pic.twitter.com/04GvxptkBK— 2xnmore (@2xnmore) May 3, 2026The post outlined a full technical breakdown across both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. The analyst pointed to the Fibonacci base, 200-day MA reclaim, and volume confirmation.The 200-day moving average shifted from overhead resistance to a rising floor over the past two weeks. Price held above it consistently during that period. That transition is often a key structural signal for trend continuation.Daily Close and Volume Drive Technical Case for TAOThe 4-hour chart confirmed the $288.1 break earlier in the session. However, the daily candle carries more weight for institutional participants. Fund managers and systematic strategies typically track daily closes over intraday timeframes. A confirmed close above $288.1 brings a broader buyer profile into the asset.Volume confirmation separates a genuine breakout from a false one. The 23.57K TAO recorded on the daily exceeded recent consolidation averages by a meaningful margin. That activity aligned directly with the price break, adding credibility to the move. Traders watch for exactly this combination before positioning.From current levels near $288.5, the next key test sits at $300. That level carries psychological weight and may produce resistance or shakeout attempts. Beyond that, $348.7 represents the 0.618 retracement of the full $143 to $377 swing. That target reflects a roughly 21% move from current price.The level to watch on the downside is $288.1, which must hold on any daily retest. A daily close below it resets the setup. The $272.4 200-day MA remains the last critical level bulls must defend on a weekly close.The post TAO Breaks March Resistance as Daily Chart Points to 21% Upside Target appeared first on Blockonomi.