$MSFT #MICROSOFT DAILY ANALYSIS| MAY 4Th, 2026Microsoft CorporationBATS:MSFTTHESOUMYOROYMSFT #MICROSOFT DAILY ANALYSIS| MAY 4Th, 2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Price: ~$415.44 52W Range: $356.28–$555.45 Cheapest forward P/E since 2023 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🕯TREND OVERVIEW MSFT Microsoft last closed at $414.44 on May 1, 2026, down from a pre-earnings close of $429.25 on April 28. The stock sold off -3.93% on April 30 ($407.78) despite a strong Q3 earnings beat, driven entirely by investor concern over a $190B capex guidance — $35B above consensus. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⛔️RESISTANCE LEVELS $431 → Key Resistance | 200-day Moving Average overhead $442–$449 → Near-Term Resistance | April high cluster, pre-earnings ceiling. $477–$484 → Pivotal Resistance | Intermediate recovery zone ➕SUPPORT LEVELS $409–$410 → Post-earnings base must hold $381–$392 → Hard historical floor below $410 zone ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈INDICATORS — DAILY 🔹RSI (14): ~54 range back in a neutral territory. RSI was at 39 during the March lows has been recovering but the post-earnings dip may have reset it back toward the 50s. 🔹 MACD (12,26) was turning positive during the April pre-earnings rally the April 30 selloff likely caused a bearish MACD crossover back below signal line, creating a fresh short-term sell sentiment. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🕯 CHART PATTERN A lower high ($429 vs. pre-March high) has formed on the daily the broader structure remains a descending channel from the $555 ATH. However, the $356–$429 recovery also traces a V-shaped rebound, with the post earnings pullback potentially forming the right shoulder of a double-bottom. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 KEY CATALYSTS ⚡ Q3 FY2026 BEAT: EPS $4.27 (+5.2%) | Revenue $82.89B (+18% YoY) ✅ ⚡ Azure cloud: +33% YoY re-accelerating for 2nd straight quarter 🚀 ⚡ Net income: $31.78B (+23% YoY) ✅ ⚡ Selloff trigger: $190B capex (vs $154B expected) $35B shock ⚠️ ⚡ Wells Fargo PT: $625 | Goldman Sachs PT: $610 ✅ ⚡ Forward P/E: 21.5x — cheapest since 2023 🔥 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧭 OVERALL BIAS 🟢 BULLISH (LONG-TERM) | 🟡 CAUTIOUS (SHORT-TERM) Short-term: Need close above $430 to confirm recovery Key level to reclaim: $445 → opens path to 200-day MA ($449) Invalidation: Daily close below $394 ⚠️ Not financial advice. Manage your risk. #NFA #DYOR @thesoumyoroyanalysis