USDJPY SWING Trade ForecastUS Dollar/Japanese YenFX:USDJPYECOINFXPair: USDJPY Direction: Long (Buy Bias) Forecast Entry Zone: Around 144.00 Forecast Stop Loss: 139.60 Forecast Take Profit 1: 157.30 Forecast Take Profit 2: 166.70 Expected Risk to Reward: Around 1 to 3.7-5 Timeframe: Daily (Swing Outlook) Date: October 2025 My Outlook I am expecting USDJPY to continue its long term uptrend after completing a deep corrective phase. The pair has been bullish since breaking structure earlier this year, and the recent pullback looks like a healthy retracement rather than a full reversal. Price is now approaching a key demand zone near 144.00, which aligns with the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the last major impulse. This level also holds previous liquidity and institutional activity, which makes it a strong area for potential accumulation. My expectation is that buyers will step in around this zone and drive price back toward the previous highs around 153.00 before pushing further to new levels near 166.70. Technical View The structure on the higher time frames remains bullish. I see a series of higher highs and higher lows that are still intact. The move into the 144 area looks corrective, which is consistent with a pullback phase in a continuing trend. I expect price to show signs of rejection or reversal within the 144 zone. Once that happens, I plan to project bullish continuation targets at 157.30 and 166.70. A sustained close below 139.60 would invalidate this forecast and signal a possible deeper correction or full reversal. The technical setup supports a high probability for a bullish continuation as long as structure remains protected. Fundamental View The fundamental backdrop still favour's a stronger United States dollar against the Japanese yen. Supporting factors for my bullish outlook: The Federal Reserve is maintaining a firm stance on interest rates, which continues to support the dollar. The Bank of Japan remains accommodative, showing limited urgency to tighten monetary policy. Global risk sentiment is improving, which usually weakens the yen as investors seek higher yielding assets. Japanese authorities have expressed concern about volatility but have not shown active intervention to support the yen. Factors that could work against my forecast: Any sudden move by the Bank of Japan toward policy tightening could strengthen the yen. Weak United States data could pressure the dollar and limit upside movement. If risk sentiment shifts toward fear or uncertainty, safe haven demand could strengthen the yen. A surprise intervention by Japanese officials could temporarily halt upward movement. Overall, the fundamental tone supports continued dollar strength and yen weakness, which aligns well with my technical expectation for a bullish continuation. My Forecast Plan I expect price to react to the 144.00 zone with a bullish rejection. I will be watching for strong confirmation candles or a shift in structure on the lower time frames. My forecast target for the first major move is 157.30, which represents a previous high and a key area of resistance. My extended projection is 166.70, which is based on a full measured move of the last bullish impulse. If the pair breaks below 139.60, it will invalidate my bullish forecast and suggest a larger corrective phase instead. My Thoughts This forecast reflects patience and confidence in both the technical and fundamental alignment of USDJPY. I am not chasing price at the highs but waiting for the market to return to a fair value zone where long positions make more sense. The 144.00 area represents a discount zone within the overall trend. I believe this area offers one of the best risk to reward opportunities on this pair for the coming weeks and possibly months. If the expected reversal occurs, this move could develop into a large scale swing continuation toward new highs.