ICPUSDT — Retesting Demand Zone: Capitulation or Major Reversal?ICP / TetherUSBINANCE:ICPUSDTCryptoNuclearWeekly Overview Internet Computer (ICP) is now entering a critical test phase at its long-standing historical demand zone between 2.80 and 4.53 USDT — an area that has repeatedly acted as the last line of defense for buyers since mid-2022. This zone is not just another technical level. It represents a multi-year accumulation range where institutional money has historically shown interest, triggering two major reversals in the past (early 2023 and early 2024). Now, the market is testing it for the third time, and the outcome of this retest may decide ICP’s direction for the next several months — or even years. --- Structure and Pattern Context Since its peak in 2021, ICP has been in a long-term structural downtrend, forming a sequence of consistent lower highs. However, it’s also built a horizontal accumulation base below 5 USDT. The 2.80–4.53 zone acts as a compressed demand layer, where selling pressure weakens every time this range is revisited. On the weekly timeframe, recent candles show: Smaller body sizes, Long lower wicks, And declining bearish volume — clear signs of seller exhaustion. In short, the market stands at a crossroads between “the final breakdown” and “the birth of a long-term reversal.” --- Bullish Scenario — Potential Reversal Phase If this demand zone holds once again, ICP could enter a medium-term reversal cycle. Here’s what would confirm a bullish structure shift: 1. Bullish Reversal Candle — a weekly engulfing, hammer, or morning star pattern appearing inside 2.80–4.53. 2. Volume Confirmation — a noticeable increase in bullish volume, signaling smart money accumulation. 3. Structure Break — a successful weekly close above 5.98 USDT, forming a new higher high. If these confirmations occur, ICP could initiate a gradual expansion phase toward key resistance targets: Target 1: 5.98 USDT – structure validation Target 2: 6.90 USDT – breakout confirmation Target 3: 9.53 USDT – major swing resistance Mid-term target: 15.28–18.73 USDT if momentum persists Each step upward will depend on overall crypto sentiment and volume strength across the market. --- Bearish Scenario — Breakdown & Capitulation Risk If bearish pressure continues and ICP closes a weekly candle below 2.80, the accumulation base built over the last two years would become invalidated. Such a breakdown could trigger final capitulation, characterized by panic selling and heavy volume. Below 2.80, there’s no major historical support, meaning the price could enter a free-fall zone toward 2.00 or lower before stabilizing. Ironically, such capitulation events often mark the true bottom of a cycle — a classic pattern seen before every major crypto bull run. --- Structural Perspective — End of the Downtrend? Some longer-term signals suggest ICP may be approaching trend exhaustion: Weekly RSI has remained in oversold territory for a prolonged time, while price fails to make new lows — indicating bullish divergence. Major distribution phases occurred between 2022–2023, implying most selling pressure is likely done. Price action resembles a late-stage accumulation phase, where smart money prepares for long-term positions (12–24 months ahead). If this demand holds, the 2.80–4.53 range could become ICP’s legendary bottom, much like ETH’s 2020 base or ADA’s 2020–2021 accumulation. --- Conclusion ICP stands at a make-or-break point — the most decisive level it has seen in two years. Holding 2.80–4.53 → opens the door for a potential major reversal. Breaking below 2.80 → signals a final capitulation phase before a new cycle emerges. Until proven otherwise, the reaction and weekly close inside this demand zone remain the key factor to watch. As long as 2.80 holds, the bullish probability still exists. #ICP #ICPUSDT #InternetComputer #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DemandZone #SwingTrade #CryptoMarket #WeeklyChart #ReversalSetup #CryptoTA #Accumulation