Bitcoin Cycles: When Does the Real Bottom Form?Bitcoin/USDTOKX:BTCUSDTTheSignalystLet me be clear from the start. This is not about calling a bottom today. It’s about comparing this cycle to the previous ones. 📉 Structurally, Bitcoin is still trading below the key moving average. As long as that MA is not reclaimed, the trend remains corrective. Momentum confirms this view. The MACD has flipped bearish, which historically marks the shift from expansion into a correction phase. Looking back at previous cycles, the real bottom usually forms only when two things happen: • MACD flips back bullish • Price reclaims the moving average Until then, even strong bounces tend to remain part of the corrective regime. 🧠 Zooming out, Bitcoin typically corrects into major historical support before the next expansion begins. On this chart, that zone stands out clearly. The 55k–65k area aligns with: • Previous cycle resistance turned support • Strong historical demand • The lower boundary of the long-term rising structure If history rhymes again, this is where we would expect momentum to stabilize and the trend to gradually flip back bullish. ⏳ Timing-wise, previous cycles suggest this process takes time. That points toward late 2026 => around October and beyond. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr