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RegExp("[?&]notifications=1(&|#|$)");"desktop"===h&&i&&b.test(window.location.search)&&(i.checked=!0)};ge("ybar-mod-notification",(function(e){var t={isUH3:"crunch"===e.getConfig().ytheme,notifContainer:document.getElementById("notification-container"),notifBadge:document.getElementById("notif-badge"),notifMenu:document.getElementById("ybarNotificationMenu"),notifMenuOpener:document.querySelector("#ybarNotificationMenu + label"),notifDropdown:document.getElementById("notifDropdownContainer"),tooltipContainer:document.querySelector(".".concat(no)),notifLabel:document.querySelector(".".concat(oo))};t.notifDropdown&&mo(e,t)}))}()}};]]>Jennifer Saibil, The Motley FoolWed, March 4, 2026 at 10:45 AM GMT+1 4 min readCostco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST) has always been a reliable market beater, even in challenging times. But it's experiencing some rare underperformance, and the stock is roughly flat over the past year, even though the business is performing beautifully.Can Costco stock break out of this cycle? Let's see where it might be in another year from now.Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »Image source: Getty Images.Costco has a unique membership model that stands out in retail. Although there is competition, including BJ's Wholesale and Walmart's Sam's Club, Costco is the largest of its kind, with nearly 1,000 stores worldwide and $280 billion in trailing 12-month sales.Essentially, what Costco sells is the membership, which trickles down to the bottom line. Its retail merchandise is marked up with razor-thin margins to just cover associated costs, and membership drives high volume as customers aim to make the most of their annual fees.There are several metrics that track customer satisfaction. Renewal rates are routinely very high, at around 90% or higher, and more members continue to upgrade to the executive membership, which costs double the $65 annual fee. Executive members are highly engaged, accounting for just under half of total members but 74% of total sales.Membership upgrades are just one growth avenue for the retail giant. Costco is still opening new stores, both in the U.S. and globally, and it has several other levers to pull, such as its recent $5 annual fee hike and attracting new members. It's embracing digital and e-commerce, which is one of its biggest growth drivers today. Digital signups are now an integral part of its business, and it's drawing younger members to the program.Sales increased 8.2% year over year in the fiscal 2026 first quarter (ended Nov. 23, 2025), with a 14% increase in fee income (including the fee hike) and a 5.2% increase in membership. These are standard increases for Costco, and high inflation hasn't stopped it.Costco often does well when the economy is pressured, since customers are more likely to shop at discount stores. I would expect the trend to continue over the next year. This reliability is one of the reasons investors love Costco stock.In the near term, the market seems to be concerned about how long Costco can keep up sales growth in the face of inflation, and a slight dip in renewal rates, which management attributes to higher digital signups.Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoS&P 5006,782.19 -87.31 (-1.27%)Dow 3047,654.70 -1,084.71 (-2.23%)Nasdaq22,551.83 -255.65 (-1.12%)Russell 20002,566.01 -70.01 (-2.66%)VIX25.29 +4.14 (+19.60%)Gold5,067.80 -66.90 (-1.30%)Trending tickersTTD The Trade Desk, Inc. 29.85 +4.68 (+18.59%)GE GE Aerospace 324.93 -14.88 (-4.38%)^DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average 47,654.70 -1,084.71 (-2.23%)CIEN Ciena Corporation 296.50 -47.05 (-13.70%)AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 11.65 -0.81 (-6.54%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersTNGX Tango Therapeutics, Inc. 15.77 +3.42 (+27.69%)TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. 29.75 +4.58 (+18.20%)UNF UniFirst Corporation 269.00 +37.74 (+16.32%)EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. 249.27 +28.02 (+12.66%)VG Venture Global, Inc. 12.44 +1.28 (+11.42%)Top losersVSCO Victoria's Secret & Co. 49.70 -10.31 (-17.18%)HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation 39.75 -7.92 (-16.61%)AEO American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. 18.94 -3.51 (-15.63%)CIEN Ciena Corporation 295.18 -48.38 (-14.08%)IESC IES Holdings, Inc. 419.48 -68.29 (-14.00%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 180.17 -2.87 (-1.57%)AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 11.65 -0.81 (-6.50%)PLUG Plug Power Inc. 2.2700 -0.2100 (-8.48%)TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. 29.75 +4.58 (+18.20%)ONDS Ondas Inc. 10.16 -0.35 (-3.36%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events