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 Gasoline (RBJ26) rallied to a 3.5-year high today, which may encourage the world's sugar mills to increase ethanol production at the expense of sugar. Massive Meatpacking Strike: What Does It Mean for Beef Prices, Cattle as 3,800 Workers Go on Strike?Arabica Coffee Closes Lower on a Bumper Brazil Crop and Abundant ICE InventoriesCocoa Prices Fall on an Improved Supply OutlookTired of missing midday reversals? The FREE Barchart Brief newsletter keeps you in the know. Sign up now!Sugar prices are also finding support amid supply disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.  According to Covrig Analytics, the closure of the strait has curbed approximately 6% of the world's sugar trade, constraining refined sugar output.Earlier this month, sugar prices plunged to 5.25-year nearest-futures lows on concern that a global sugar surplus will persist.  On February 11, analysts from sugar trader Czarnikow said they expect a global sugar surplus of 3.4 MMT in the 2026/27 crop year, following an 8.3 MMT surplus in 2025/26.   Also, Green Pool Commodity Specialists said on January 29 that they expect a 2.74 MMT global sugar surplus for 2025/26 and a 156,000 MT surplus for 2026/27.  Meanwhile, StoneX said February 13 that it expects a global sugar surplus of 2.9 MMT in 2025/26.The International Sugar Organization (ISO) on February 27 forecasted a +1.22 MMT (million metric ton) sugar surplus in 2025-26, following a -3.46 MMT deficit in 2024-25.  ISO said the surplus is being driven by increased sugar production in India, Thailand, and Pakistan.  ISO is forecasting a +3.0% y/y rise in global sugar production to 181.3 million MMT in 2025-26. Signs of lower sugar output in Brazil are supportive of sugar prices, after Unica on February 18 reported that sugar production in Brazil's Center-South in the second half of January fell by -36% y/y to only 5,000 MT.  However, cumulative 2025-26 Center-South sugar output through January rose +0.9% y/y to 40.24 MMT.The Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufacturers Association (ISMA) reported Tuesday that India's 2025-26 sugar output from Oct 1-Mar 15 was up +10.5% y/y to 26.2 MMT.  Last Wednesday, the ISMA projected India's 2025/26 sugar production at 29.3 MMT, up 12% y/y, below an earlier projection of 30.95 MMT.  The ISMA also cut its estimate for sugar used for ethanol production in India to 3.4 MMT from a July forecast of 5 MMT, which may allow India to boost its sugar exports.  India is the world's second-largest sugar producer. 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