BTCUSD: How a rules-based system caught the -29% drop — Jan/Feb Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBITSTAMP:BTCUSDApexLabsThis is a real trade from the TREND MOMENTUM v2 backtest. No discretion. No manual analysis. Pure systematic execution. ────────────────────────────── TRADE DETAILS ────────────────────────────── Instrument: BTCUSD · Daily Direction: Short Entry: Jan 21, 2026 · $88,315 Exit: Feb 06, 2026 · $62,797 (Trail SL triggered) Duration: 16 days Net P&L: +$2,029 · +28.69% Max favorable move: +29.44% Max adverse move: -3.28% ────────────────────────────── WHAT YOU SEE ON THE CHART ────────────────────────────── The chart shows: → Orange line — EMA 50 → Blue line — EMA 200 → RSI (14) in the lower pane with a 55 level Entry came after EMA 50 crossed below EMA 200 and RSI confirmed downside momentum below the threshold. The system entered short on the next daily open. No manual judgment. No opinion. Just rules. ────────────────────────────── HOW THE EXIT WORKED ────────────────────────────── No fixed take profit. The ATR trailing stop followed price down automatically — locking in gains as BTC dropped from $88k to $62k. Exit triggered when price bounced above the trail. The system captured 97% of the available move. ────────────────────────────── STRATEGY CONTEXT (5-year backtest) ────────────────────────────── BTCUSD Daily · Jul 2021 – Mar 2026: Profit Factor: 3.08 CAGR: 14.03% / year Max Drawdown: -11.72% Win Rate: 48.7% Total Trades: 39 (~8/year) This is one of 39 trades over 5 years. The strategy doesn't trade often — it trades selectively. ────────────────────────────── WHAT THIS STRATEGY IS ────────────────────────────── TREND MOMENTUM v2 is a systematic Daily strategy for BTCUSD and XAUUSD built on: → EMA 50/200 trend filter → RSI momentum confirmation → ATR Volatility + Volume filters → ATR trailing stop exit Designed for traders who want rules, not opinions. Check the chart once a day. That's it. Access → link in signature. ⚠️ Past backtest results do not guarantee future performance. Trading involves substantial risk of capital loss. This is for educational purposes only.