Adobe: 3 Reasons Not To Buy, 1 Reason Not To Sell After Q1

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Mar. 18, 2026 2:44 PM ETAdobe Inc. (ADBE) Stock, ADBE:CA StockBernard Zambonin1.6K FollowersCommentsAdobe faces increasing skepticism as KPI disclosure changes and AI-driven disruption cast doubt on its core business stability.Switching from Digital Media ARR to Total ARR reporting raises concerns and signals management's shifting narrative amid slowing growth.Evidence of moat erosion includes AI cannibalizing legacy revenue streams and unclear monetization paths, especially as freemium models threaten pricing power.Despite discounted valuation and a CEO transition, conviction remains low due to unreliable future FCF and persistent uncertainty around Adobe’s SaaS model.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsThere is no doubt that Adobe (ADBE) is still a high-quality business. But its story is getting harder to trust. After a mild recovery pre-Q1 earnings report, everything went downhill with a still very weak print inThis article was written byBernard Zambonin1.6K FollowersEquity Research Analyst at DM Martins Research.I cover stocks that are often undercovered, focusing primarily on Brazil and Latin America — but I also occasionally write about global large caps. My work can also be found on TipRanks, where I contribute regularly, and on TheStreet, where I was a frequent contributor in the past.- Disclaimer: All views expressed here are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or official positions of DM Martins Research. My articles and analyses are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Always do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Comments