A 6-1 triumph over Atalanta in the first leg of this Champions League last-16 tie has left Bayern Munich in a commanding position ahead of the return fixture at the Allianz Arena.Is there any hope for Atalanta, or will Bayern press home their advantage in front of their own supporters? Here is what we expect from this match.Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score – 13/10 with BetfredOver 3.5 goals – 4/5 with BoyleSportsLennart Karl to score or assist – 4/6 with bet365Bayern Munich vs Atalanta oddsFind the latest Bayern Munich vs Atalanta betting odds here. All odds are provided by our recommended football bookmakers and are subject to change.Bayern Munich vs Atalanta predictionsBayern Munich have regularly blown away Bundesliga opponents this season, but would they be able to do so away to Atalanta last week?Many felt not, especially when the pre-match team news revealed that Harry Kane was only fit enough for a place among the substitutes.Perhaps those doubters should have been more confident in Bayern’s ability. A 6-1 victory in Bergamo in the first leg of this last-16 tie has put them within touching distance of a place in the Champions League quarter-finals.Bayern were ruthless last time out. They may have been without Kane, their leading goalscorer, but Vincent Kompany is not the manager of a one-man team.Bayern came flying out of the blocks and had established a 3-0 lead by the 25th minute. Midway through the second half, they were 6-0 up.Mario Pasalic eventually gave the Atalanta fans something to cheer when he found the back of the net in stoppage time, but by then the damage had been done.Bayern have all but secured a place in the last eight already, although after the first leg Kompany was not willing to entertain suggestions that the tie is over.“There is still the second leg to play, so we have to stay focused,” he said. “The key tonight was finding the right approach to the game. Our man-to-man coverage was very important tactically and raising the pressing helped us a lot. “It’s not the first time we face a team like Atalanta that likes to attack, so playing against this kind of football was not a surprise for us.”It is hard to know how to face this Bayern team. Atalanta attempted to go toe to toe with them and were duly torn apart.Other opponents have opted to sit deep and pack men behind the ball, but Bayern usually have the quality to break down their rearguards anyway.Anything can happen in football, but it would be an upset for the ages if Atalanta were to go through from here. To put into context how unlikely it is, consider that even a 4-0 or 5-1 away win on Wednesday would not be sufficient to deny Bayern a place in the quarters.Atalanta’s European journey for this campaign will come to an end this week. The only question is whether they can salvage some pride after last week’s shellacking on home turf.Bayern Munich vs Atalanta betting tipsBayern Munich are on the cusp of advancing to the last eight of the Champions League.Bayern to finish jobGiven Bayern Munich are in a comfortable position in the Bundesliga title race, Kompany is unlikely to make wholesale changes to his starting XI on Wednesday.There may be one or two departures from the usual line-up, but there is no real need for Bayern to hold anyone back for this weekend’s game against Union Berlin.Bayern are a relentless team who rarely ease up even once they are ahead. A five-goal aggregate lead will not see them take their foot off the gas.Having said that, Atalanta will back themselves to score against opponents that have gone give matches without a clean sheet. Go for Bayern Munich to win and both teams to score at 13/10 with Betfred Entertainment in storeBayern Munich could only manage a 1-1 draw with Bayer Leverkusen on Saturday, although given they had two players sent off in that match, it was actually a pretty good result.Those two red cards meant it was a lower-scoring game than usual for Kompany’s crew.Indeed, even after that Leverkusen match, 73 percent of Bayern’s Bundesliga matches in 2025/26 have contained at least four goals.In games at the Allianz Arena, that percentage rises to 77. We should see a fair few goals on Wednesday night. Choose over 3.5 goals at 4/5 with BoyleSports Karl can make impactLennart Karl was not in the starting line-up for the first leg of this last-16 tie, but we reckon he will feature from the first whistle in Munich.Karl is quite the talent. To be getting regular game time at this Bayern Munich team at the age of 18 says it all.Whether he plays as a No.10 or on the right-hand side of the attack, the left-footed forward carries a threat in the final third.He has had a direct hand in four Champions League goals this season, and is our pick to either score or assist against Atalanta. Pick Lennart Karl to score or assist at 4/6 with bet365 Bayern Munich vs Atalanta predicted lineupsBayern Munich expected lineup: Ulreich; Stanisic, Kim, Tah, Bischof; Goretzka, Pavlovic; Karl, Gnabry, Diaz; Kane.Atalanta expected lineup: Carnesecchi; Kossounou, Hien, Kolasinac; Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Bernasconi; Zalewski, Scamacca, Samardzic. Where to watch Bayern Munich vs AtalantaLocation: Allianz Arena, Munich, Germany.Date and time: Wednesday 18th March, 8pm.How to watch: TNT Sports 4.More Champions League predictionsWe have plenty more Champions League predictions and picks – find our latest betting tips from expert punters in our match preview overview.About the authorGreg LeaGreg Lea is a freelance football writer from London. He predominantly covers the Premier League and has had work published by the Guardian, FourFourTwo, ESPN and others.Follow Greg on X: @GregLeaFootballCommercial content notice: Taking one of the bookmaker offers featured in this article may result in a payment to talkSPORT. 18+. T&Cs apply. 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