Dollar Slips as T-note Yields Decline

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are limited after Feb pending home sales unexpectedly increased, and as the war against Iran enters its eighteenth day with no end in sight, boosting safe-haven demand for the dollar.The ADP weekly employment change for the four weeks ending February 28 increased by +9,000, the smallest increase in five weeks and a sign of a slowdown in hiring by US employers.Dollar Retreats as Stocks Rebound and Bond Yields FallStrength in Stocks Weighs on the Dollar and GoldMarkets move fast. Keep up by reading our FREE midday Barchart Brief newsletter for exclusive charts, analysis, and headlines.US Feb pending home sales unexpectedly rose +1.8% m/m, stronger than expectations of a -0.6% m/m decline.The 2-day FOMC meeting begins today, and market expectations are for the Fed to keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%.  With the Jan core PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, at 3.1%, well above the Fed’s 2.0% target, the Fed is expected to signal an extended pause ahead.Swaps markets are discounting the odds at 1% for a -25 bp rate cut at the Tue/Wed FOMC meeting.The dollar continues to be undercut by a poor outlook for interest rate differentials, with the FOMC expected to cut interest rates by at least -25 bp in 2026, while the BOJ and ECB are expected to raise rates by at least +25 bp in 2026.EUR/USD (^EURUSD) today is up by +0.17%.  The dollar’s weakness today is supporting gains in the euro.  However, the upside in the euro is limited after today’s economic news showed the German Mar ZEW survey expectations of economic growth fell more than expected to an 11-month low.  Also, today’s +1% increase in crude oil prices is negative for the euro, as higher crude prices are bearish for the Eurozone economy, which relies heavily on energy imports.The German Mar ZEW survey expectations of economic growth fell -58.8 to an 11-month low of -0.5, weaker than expectations of 39.2.Swaps are discounting a 2% chance of a +25 bp rate hike by the ECB at Thursday’s policy meeting.USD/JPY (^USDJPY) today is down by -0.06%.  The yen is moving slightly higher today after Japan’s Jan tertiary industry index posted its biggest increase in 5.25 years, a supportive factor for the yen.  Also, lower T-notes yield today are bullish for the yen.  Gains in the yen are limited by today’s +1% increase in crude oil prices, which is negative for Japan’s economy, which relies on energy imports.  Terms and Privacy PolicyPrivacy & Cookie SettingsMore InfoTrending tickersMU Micron Technology, Inc. 461.73 +0.04 (+0.01%)BTC-USD Bitcoin USD 71,038.40 -3,284.88 (-4.42%)FIG Figma, Inc. 25.26 -2.19 (-7.98%)CVNA Carvana Co. 291.17 -23.57 (-7.49%)ABBV AbbVie Inc. 208.34 -11.42 (-5.20%)PortfolioSign in to access your portfolioSign inTop gainersRGC Regencell Bioscience Holdings Limited 26.38 +3.41 (+14.85%)VG Venture Global, Inc. 14.85 +1.88 (+14.50%)ANDG Andersen Group Inc. 28.27 +3.38 (+13.58%)HTFL Heartflow, Inc. 25.47 +2.95 (+13.10%)KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited 14.78 +1.66 (+12.65%)Top losersSAIL SailPoint, Inc. 12.47 -2.24 (-15.23%)BGSI Boyd Group Services Inc. 140.27 -21.35 (-13.21%)SA Seabridge Gold Inc. 27.01 -3.84 (-12.45%)NG NovaGold Resources Inc. 8.55 -1.19 (-12.22%)RKLB Rocket Lab Corporation 69.48 -9.11 (-11.59%)Most activeNVDA NVIDIA Corporation 180.40 -1.53 (-0.84%)PLUG Plug Power Inc. 2.3200 -0.0100 (-0.43%)ONDS Ondas Inc. 10.83 -0.45 (-3.99%)SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. 17.18 -0.19 (-1.09%)AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 10.80 -0.06 (-0.55%)Top economic eventsEarnings eventsMy earnings eventsEarnings events