XAUUSD - MARKET CONTEXT I SEP/26/2025GoldOANDA:XAUUSDTraderX_68- Gold is still consolidating inside a triangle pattern with two trendlines: H1 downtrend (dynamic resistance) and H1 uptrend (dynamic support). - Current price is 3746, right at the POC + Reject Zone, showing a balance between supply and demand. Key technical levels: VaH Zone: 3751–3753 POC Zone: 3740 VaL Zone: 3731 Deep Demand Zone: 3717–3720 🟢 SCENARIO 1 – BUY AT SUPPORT (PREFERRED WITH UPTREND HOLDING) Entry conditions: Price holds above H1 uptrend line. Rejection candles (Pinbar, Engulfing) appear at 3731–3740 (POC + VaL zone). Rationale: Confluence of POC + VaL → strong liquidity. H1 structure still forming Higher Lows → favoring trend-following buys. 🎯 Entry: 3731–3740 🛑 SL: Below 3720 ✅ TP1: 3751 (VaH Zone) ✅ TP2: 3775 (Old High) 🔴 SCENARIO 2 – SHORT-TERM SELL FROM RESISTANCE Entry conditions: Price retests 3751–3755 (VaH Zone) but fails to break out. Strong rejection signal forms. Rationale: VaH zone + dynamic resistance confluence. If buying momentum weakens, this level could trap breakout buyers. 🎯 Entry: 3751–3755 🛑 SL: Above 3762 ✅ TP1: 3740 (POC) ✅ TP2: 3731 (VaL Zone) ⚠️ SCENARIO 3 – WAIT FOR BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION BUY breakout: If price clears 3775 with strong volume → new bullish leg opens, target 3790–3800. SELL breakdown: If price breaks 3731 → potential retest of Demand Zone 3717 → 3700. 📌 RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGY Main priority: BUY at support 3731–3740 in line with the uptrend. Only consider short-term SELL if clear rejection appears at 3751–3755. If market stays in tight range, stay out and wait for confirmation.