EGX30 performance summary for October: Weak market breadth with

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EGX30 performance summary for October: Weak market breadth withEGX 30 IndexEGX:EGX30yassernoahOctober Market Performance Summary: Weak Market Breadth with Strong Liquidity Concentration #TechnicalAnalysis #EgyptianExchange #EGX30 A deep technical dive into the market's internal data for October reveals a clear divergence between the overall market performance and the movement of concentrated liquidity. Here are the details: Overall Market Sentiment: Mixed with a bearish bias. The number of declining stocks exceeds the number of advancing stocks, yet the bearish momentum is weak, and liquidity is selectively concentrated. Detailed Analysis Market Breadth Breadth Statistics: Advancing Stocks: 11 Declining Stocks: 19 Interpretation: The market breadth is negative, indicating that the majority of the index's stocks declined during October. This reflects a general weakness in performance. Despite the higher number of declining stocks, the bearish momentum is very weak, and there is no acceleration in selling pressure, which signals a neutral short-term outlook. Most Influential Stocks on the Index: Positive Impact: COMI (+0.11%), ORAS (+0.11%) Negative Impact: EAST (-0.22%), BTFH (-0.15%) Interpretation: The index's movement is primarily driven by specific leading stocks. We note that the negative impact of the top losers is stronger than the positive impact of the top gainers, which explains the index's tendency towards weakness despite the rise of some strong stocks. Stocks with the Highest Trading Value: Top Stocks by Trading Value: COMI (15.5%), ETEL (10.62%), HRHO (10.6%) Interpretation: Trading value is highly concentrated in a few leading stocks. These three stocks alone accounted for more than a third of the total market trading value, indicating selective investor interest. Liquidity Flows: Major Inflows (In Δ): ORAS: +2.36B JUFO: +774.94M Interpretation: There is a massive and targeted inflow of buying liquidity into ORAS in particular, indicating strong and specific interest in this stock, contrary to the general market trend. Major Outflows (Out ∇): PHDC: -2.005B ORHD: -829.02M Interpretation: Conversely, other stocks like PHDC are experiencing significant liquidity outflows, reflecting strong selling pressure or concentrated profit-taking activities. Conclusion and Takeaways The market's performance in October reveals a "split market" phenomenon. While the general breadth (advancing vs. declining stocks) shows clear weakness, we find that smart money is flowing strongly and selectively into specific stocks (e.g., ORAS) and out of others (e.g., PHDC). This implies that the movement is not indiscriminate selling but rather a process of repositioning and rotating liquidity between sectors and stocks. The stability of the momentum indicator near the zero line supports the idea that the market is in a wait-and-see mode rather than an accelerated decline. For the Investor: It is crucial to monitor these concentrated flows as they are often an early indicator of the stocks and sectors that may lead the market's future movement.