AVAX Bear Flag on 4 hourAVAX / Tether USDKRAKEN:AVAXUSDTTheCoinCowboyThe bounce to ~$30 did not take out the last 4H lower-high (~$30.6–$31). Until that breaks and holds, structure is still down. This preiction is valid unless price closes above the flag’s upper trendline / last LH (~$30.6–$31). A breakdown from the flag puts the usual magnets back in play: $28.40 (0.382) → lose it on a 4H close and the path opens to $27.9 / $27.3 $26.0–$26.6 (0.5 + prior pivot) If that fails: $23.6 (0.618). Extreme measured-move risk from the full pole points toward $20–$21 (low-probability unless BTC/ETH crack).