US 10Y Treasury Yield TA Weekly+DailyUnited States 10 Year Government Bonds YieldTVC:US10YJunmadayagUS 10Y Treasury Yield TA (as of Apr 4, 2026) Weekly Chart Bigger picture shows a longer-term uptrend since late 2025. Yield remains well above EMA50 (orange ~4.21%) and EMA200 (red ~3.84%), confirming the primary bullish structure. RSI (28) at 52.25 — also neutral-bullish. Daily Chart Price spiked to ~4.50% in March then pulled back, now hovering around 4.31% near the weekly resistance (blue line at 4.309%). EMA50 (orange) at 4.222% and EMA200 (red) at 4.201% — price sits comfortably above both, showing short-term bullish momentum. RSI (28) at 54.72 (above 50 and its SMA) — neutral-bullish, no overbought/oversold extremes. S/R levels: Resistance at 4.40% (monthly pink line); strong support at 4.00% (weekly blue). Recent action looks like a failed breakout forming a short-term consolidation. Bullish Case (Yields Rise): Yield breaks and holds above 4.40% → targets 4.50-4.60%+. Triggered by hotter inflation data pushing the Fed to stay hawkish. Bearish Case (Yields Fall): Loss of 4.30%/4.22% (EMA50) → quick drop to 4.00% support or lower. Would need soft inflation or growth data to spark a risk-on bond rally. Key Economic Catalysts Apr 6-10 (high impact on yields): Mon 6: ISM Services PMI (inflation component key) Wed 8: FOMC Meeting Minutes Thu 9: Personal Income/Spending + PCE Deflator (Fed’s favorite inflation gauge) Fri 10: CPI (headline + core) + Michigan Consumer Sentiment Hotter-than-expected inflation = higher yields (bullish case). Cooler data or dovish Fed tone = lower yields (bearish case). Lingering Middle East tensions and oil prices could add upside inflation pressure. What’s your read — will we break higher above 4.40% or drop back to 4.00% this week? Drop your take below! Note: Indicator Settings: EMA 50 (orange) EMA 200 (red) RSI: Period 28; SMA 50 #10YYield #BondMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #EMA #TreasuryYields #InflationWatch