NFP Shock & Epic Dumb FuryGOLD / U.S. DOLLARFX_IDC:XAUUSDWick-Sniper๐จ GOLD SHOCK after NFP Data! ๐ Is the price dropping below 4,000 now? ๐ฑ + Elliott Wave Update! ๐ XAUUSD What's up, trader community! โ๏ธ Buckle up, because the gold market just served us a massive portion of volatility. What on earth just happened?! ๐คฏ ๐ฅ NFP Data: Absolute Insanity! Did you guys see the latest Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data? The forecast was a lame 65k new jobs. What did we get? BAM! 178k! ๐ Almost three times as much as expected! ๐ค So, what does this mean for our beloved gold price in the coming week? Let's consult the crystal ball... ๐ฎ ๐ฐ Easter Calm Before the Geopolitical Storm? Currently, we have some time to catch our breath over the Easter holidays. But don't kid yourselves: the news machine never sleeps. ๐ฐ Whether it's the ongoing Iran war and Operation Epic Dumb Fury as i call it or other geopolitical escalations just waiting to hit the wires. During the wait you could visit: https://www.ig.com/en/indices/markets-indices/weekend-gold to see how price is moving. Speaking of the Iran war: Trump stands there and talks about the whole thing being over in 2 to 3 weeks. ๐คก Whoever believes that, be my guest! To be honest: I stopped believing a word that man says a long time ago. ๐ The fact is: Gold now has the perfect catalyst for a proper price drop. ๐ I strongly assume we will see a rising US Dollar ๐ต next week. And oil? Will keep going up. ๐ข๏ธ That's not a bold prediction, guys, that's a fact. It will happen exactly like that. Period. ๐ฏ Price Targets: Where is the journey heading? Not too long ago, Gold was well on its way to attacking the magic 5,000 mark again. ๐ But given this data, the tables will probably turn drastically. Here is my guess for the next few days: ๐ป target: Pullback to 4,200 in the coming week. ๐ฉธ Worst-case scenario: If things get really ugly, we might break through the 4,000 mark. And if that happens... the elevator down is officially open for business! ๐๐ ๐ Elliott Wave Analysis (4H / 8H Chart) For the chart technicians among us: I had my eyes glued to a Wave 4 on the higher timeframe chart (4H/8H) this whole time. ๐ It was close to pushing above the level of Wave 1. If it had done that, our beautiful 1 to 5 formation would have been completely invalidated! ๐ซ I was already close to rethinking my bias: Is this not a 1-5 impulse at all, but rather a massive ABC correction? ๐ค In that scenario, we would have finished Wave A at around 5,000, initiated the drop for Wave B, only to rocket up in Wave C towards the All-Time High (ATH). ๐ BUT: The cards have been reshuffled! ๐ After the NFP data, I now firmly believe that we will see a clean Wave 1-5 to the downside to 4,200. The probability of the bullish ABC pattern has therefore been postponed for now. ๐ Conclusion: The bears are out! ๐ป Keep your risk management in check, set your stop-losses, and don't get caught on the wrong foot. What do you guys think? Will we see 4,000 fall, or will geopolitics save us? Let me know in the comments! ๐๐ฌ Happy Trading and Happy Easter! ๐ฐ๐ธ ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! ๐ข Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks โ only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.