MERL looks like its setting up for a decent PopMERLUSDT Perpetual ContractBYBIT:MERLUSDT.PTrend_ChasinβοΈ HTF Context (Daily) Prolonged downtrend channel β controlled selling Price pushing into range lows / exhaustion zone Momentum clearly slowing This is the shift: π Trend β Exhaustion β Reversal Attempt We are in the potential turning phase. βοΈ LTF Structure (15m / Execution TF) Strong impulse off the lows First real displacement against trend Holding above EMA cluster Beginning to build a base Key detail: π This is the first time buyers are holding control βοΈ Model Read This is: π Reversal Extension (Early Stage) NOT crossback yet. This is where: Shorts get trapped Early longs position Market decides if it wants to rotate higher βοΈ What Iβm Watching This is the key question: π Does this extension hold and build, or immediately fail? βοΈ Scenarios π’ Bull Case (Primary) Hold above EMA support Continue building higher lows Push into prior structure highs This leads to: π Reversal β THEN Crossback β THEN Trend π΄ Bear Case (Failure) Lose the base Immediate rejection Back into downtrend structure This becomes: π Failed Reversal Extension β continuation lower βοΈ Execution Plan This is NOT breakout chasing. Looking for: Pullbacks into support Tight consolidation LTF continuation triggers βοΈ Teaching Point This is where most traders lose money. They: Short into exhaustion Or wait too long and miss the move The edge is here: π Trading the first shift β not the confirmation βοΈ Closing This is early β but thatβs the opportunity. If this holds, this becomes a full sequence: π Reversal Extension β Crossback β Trend Expansion Right now: π We are at Step 1