Next Volatility Period: Around August 13th (August 12th-14th)Bitcoin / TetherUSBINANCE:BTCUSDTreadCrypto Hello, fellow traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (USDT 12M Chart) A lot of money has been flowing into the coin market through USDT. A decline in USDT indicates capital outflow from the coin market. (USDT.D 12M chart) As USDT continues to rise, its dominance naturally rises. However, if USDT is used to purchase coins (tokens) in the coin market, its dominance will decline. USDT dominance peaked in 2022 and is showing a downward trend. This indicates that a significant amount of capital flowing into the coin market was used to purchase coins (tokens). USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 this year before beginning an upward trend, marking the end of its three-year bull market. I believe this trend will inject new vitality into the coin market. For the coin market to maintain an upward trend, USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or show a downward trend. If this fails and the price rises above 4.91, the coin market is likely already in a downward trend. A decline occurred on May 8, 2025, creating a reverse trend. To maintain this reverse trend, we need to see if it can fall below 4.24. If USDT dominance declines, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend. ------------------------------------------------------ (BTCUSDT 1D chart) As the new week begins, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming a new level at 114454.57. Accordingly, the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support in the 114454.57-115854.56 range. The formation of the HA-High indicator means that the price has fallen from its high. This also means that further declines are highly likely. Therefore, if possible, the price should rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range and maintain its upward momentum. This period of volatility is expected to last until August 6th. Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above the 114454.57-115854.56 range after the volatility period. If not, we assume the price will decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator and consider countermeasures accordingly. This is because the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are paired. As the price declines, indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60) may appear. Therefore, if the price declines, you should monitor for the emergence of indicators such as the HA-Low or DOM(-60). The basic trading strategy is to buy between the DOM(-60) and HA-Low ranges and sell between the HA-High and DOM(60) ranges. - If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that the trend will be re-established upon meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Therefore, if the price fails to rise to the 114454.57-115854.56 range, it is highly likely that the price will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this time, a key support and resistance level is expected to be around 108353.0. When new support and resistance levels are formed, they must remain horizontal for at least three candlesticks to function as support and resistance. In other words, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of forming, but it hasn't yet. Therefore, if the current price holds this week, it will form next week. Therefore, for the HA-High indicator to function properly as support and resistance, it must remain horizontal for three candlesticks, or three weeks. This rule must be acquired through significant time and observation. - If you sold partially in the 115854.56-119177.56 range according to your basic trading strategy, you will find it easier to observe the current movement. If not, you will likely become anxious. The key to trading is maintaining a stable psychological state. If you begin to feel anxious, you should consider how to stabilize your psychological state. Otherwise, you'll end up making the wrong trades. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------