XAUUSD – Wyckoff Analysis: The Market is at the End of Phase B

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XAUUSD – Wyckoff Analysis: The Market is at the End of Phase BGoldOANDA:XAUUSDJaddenn✅XAUUSD – Wyckoff Analysis: The Market is at the End of Phase B Observing the M30 timeframe, the current structure shows the market is moving according to the logic of a complete Wyckoff accumulation cycle. ✅We have: - SC (Selling Climax): peak of selling pressure, widening range, confirming large capital inflows absorbing supply. - AR (Automatic Rally): strong rebound reaction when selling pressure is exhausted. - ST (Secondary Test): retesting the bottom but not creating a lower bottom → confirming that supply has weakened. - Currently, the market is in Phase B – the phase of absorbing and redistributing liquidity. The characteristics of this phase are: - Controlled sideways movement - Gradually narrowing range - Many fluctuations to test the remaining supply - The formation of a narrowing triangle pattern is not random. This is a manifestation of the compression of volatility before widening the range. ✅Key Point: Potential Shakeout (Fake Spring) The most likely scenario is: The market may execute a Fake Out below the support level, with the purpose of: - Sweeping liquidity below the nearest low - Triggering the stop-loss of weak buyers - Absorbing the remaining supply 👉If, after that breakout, the price quickly recovers and closes back within the range, it will be a confirmation signal that the absorption process is complete. 🎯Then, the next phase is likely to be: ➡ Markup phase (Phase C → D) ➡ Breaking horizontal resistance ➡ Extending the trend to the target area above ✅Money Flow Thinking At this point: - Smart Money doesn't need to push the price up immediately. - They need liquidity. - And liquidity is below the short-term lows. 👉Therefore, any shakeout, if it occurs, is not a negative factor but the final piece of the accumulation structure. ✅Strategic Conclusion The market is at the end of Phase B, nearing the point where the structure is determined. The in-depth Wyckoff strategy at this point is not prediction, but waiting for confirmation: - If there is a Spring + Recover → Prioritize the bullish scenario. - If the bottom is broken and remains below the structure → The accumulation pattern has failed. This is a phase where ordinary traders see noise, but those who understand the structure will see the logic.