Macro Analysis - Feb 28, 2026Bitcoin / USDBINANCE:BTCUSDimaclone_ethBTC (Bitcoin): Trend & key levels (2 h/4 h/1 D/1 W) – Price is consolidating within a descending wedge. Short‑term (2 h) charts show momentum oscillators turning oversold after hitting 63 k; 4 h and daily charts exhibit a series of lower highs but with decreasing volume. Weekly structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the 200‑week EMA (~$58 k). - Support zones: $63 k (minor), $61 k, $58 k. - Resistance: $66.5 k, $68 k, $70 k. - Base scenario: expect a sweep of $62.5 k–63 k before rebounding toward $66.5 k. - Bullish scenario: reclaim and close above $68 k on the daily chart; targets $70 k, $73 k and $76 k. - Bearish scenario: break below $62 k leads to a flush toward $60 k then $58 k. - Take‑profit (TP)/stop‑loss (SL): 2 h swing: TP1 $66.0 k; TP2 $67.5 k; TP3 $70 k. SL below $61 k. Minimize risk by avoiding over‑leveraging and use trailing stops after TP1. -- ETH (Ethereum): ETH broke above a short‑term consolidation channel and now tests prior resistance near $1,950. Momentum indicators on 4 h charts show positive divergence. - Support: $1,880, $1,820, $1,750. - Resistance: $1,980, $2,050, $2,150. - Base scenario: consolidate between $1,880 and $1,980; accumulate on dips for move toward $2,050. - Bullish: close above $2,050 opens path to $2,150–2,300. - Bearish: lose $1,820 leads to $1,750 and $1,650. - TP/SL: TP1 $1,980; TP2 $2,050; TP3 $2,150. SL below $1,820. -- Conclusion: Markets remain fragile as investors balance tariff‑driven inflation and recession risks with expectations of aggressive Fed easing. Bitcoin and major alt‑coins are in corrective phases but retain upward‑biased weekly trends above key support. Macro uncertainty (Iran/US tensions, Japanese yield normalization, and U.S. growth concerns) will keep volatility elevated. Traders should always stick to plan and use disciplined risk management, watch the $62.5 k–63 k zone on BTC, and be ready for sharp moves around macro catalysts. The chart shows three scenarios for BTC. It helps to show a wedge breakdown with potential support/resistance zones: a base bounce near $62.5k–63k, a deeper bearish flush to $60k–61k, and a bullish invalidation area above $66.5k–68k. NFA/DYOFR