GBPAUD SELL TRADE PLANBritish Pound vs Australian DollarICMARKETS:GBPAUDjibkhan111PAIR: GBPAUD DATE: 25 Feb 2026 PLAN ID: GA-250226-V6-01 Analysis Time (UTC): 10:58 ⸻ 1) TRADE INTENT Sell the retest of a breakdown area in a bearish market to target lower liquidity. ⸻ 2) PLAN OVERVIEW Market State: Trending Trade Model: Breakout-Retest (Model 3 — Breakout → Retest → Expansion) Direction: SELL Horizon: Swing Setup Grade: A Plan Status: VALID ⸻ 3) LEVELS CARD (Execution Section) Setup Status Price State: NEAR Operator Mode: CONFIRMATION Zone Status: Valid Retest Pending Risk & Confidence Confidence: 72% (Pre-Trigger) Risk Per Trade: 1.0% ENTRY PLAN (Final Refined Version) Primary Entry (Higher Probability — preferred execution) Entry 01: 1.9105 – 1.9135 Stop Loss: 1.9168 TP1: 1.9020 TP2: 1.8950 TP3: 1.8885 (only if momentum stays clean) Reason: Breakdown-retest into H4/H1 supply with bearish structure intact and clear downside liquidity draw. (Entry 02 omitted — no clearly required, elite-distinct secondary zone for this chart set.) Pre-Entry Invalidation: H1 close and hold above 1.9195 Trigger Required: M15 bearish shift at the zone (rejection + displacement OR CHOCH/BOS) Session Preference: London / NY Overlap Order Type: Market after confirmation Execution Rule: • Enter only after trigger at the zone; no trigger = no trade. ⸻ 4) MARKET CONTEXT • D1/H4 are structurally bearish, with persistent lower-high / lower-low behavior. • The recent sell-leg broke a prior base; the current bounce reads as a retest attempt rather than a reversal. • 1.9105–1.9135 is the execution band where failed reclaim should re-trigger continuation. • Acceptance above 1.9195 invalidates the breakdown thesis and cancels the sell idea. ⸻ 5) FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS Verdict: UNCONFIRMED Action: WAIT Key high-impact risk (next 3–5 days): • AUD CPI (AUD) • RBA-related headline risk (AUD) • High-impact GBP event risk (GBP) News Blackout Gate: No new entries 15m before / 60m after red events (extend to 90m if volatility remains unstable). ⸻ 6) EXECUTION PROTOCOL Current state = NEAR → wait for price to tag 1.9105–1.9135. If IN ZONE — no trigger → wait (do nothing). If IN ZONE — trigger printed → execute Entry 01. If price moves away without trigger → stand aside until a fresh retest + trigger. If H1 accepts above 1.9195 → cancel. ⸻ 7) RISK & POSITIONING • Keep risk at 1% max while AUD/GBP high-impact risk is near. • If you’re already exposed to GBP or AUD (especially same-direction), reduce to 0.5–0.75% to avoid clustering. ⸻ 8) CONFIDENCE SUMMARY Clean bearish structure, a logical breakout-retest execution band, and an uncapped downside liquidity path support a continuation short once confirmation prints. ⸻ 9) FINAL EXECUTION NOTE I will not front-run this bounce; I only sell if 1.9105–1.9135 is tagged and M15 prints a clear bearish shift, and if price reclaims and holds above 1.9195 I cancel immediately with zero salvage.